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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Zip code 85646 in Tubac, Arizona, is classified as a White Majority community with Moderate Diversity as of 2022. The white population comprises 64% of the total, while the Hispanic population accounts for 32%. The median income for 2022 was $55,522, with a population of 1,146 residents.
Tubac has undergone a gradual transition from a Low Diversity community towards Moderate Diversity over the past decade. In 2013, the area was characterized by a White Majority (79%) with a Hispanic minority (20%). By 2022, the White population decreased to 64%, while the Hispanic population increased to 32%. This shift indicates a trend towards a more diverse community composition, though it has not reached the threshold for High Diversity or Majority-Minority status. The emergence of a small Two or More Races category (4% in 2022) further supports this diversification trend.
The median income in Tubac has fluctuated over the past decade. From 2013 to 2019, there was a general upward trend, with median income rising from $41,826 to a peak of $67,303 in 2018. Since 2019, there has been a decline, with the 2022 median income at $55,522. The period of increasing diversity initially corresponded with rising median incomes, but the recent decline in median income despite continued diversification indicates that other factors are also influencing the local economy.
Population figures have remained relatively stable over the decade, with some fluctuations. The population grew from 1,206 in 2013 to a peak of 1,279 in 2014, then experienced some decline before stabilizing around 1,100-1,200 residents in recent years.
The demographic shifts observed in Tubac align with broader national trends of increasing diversity in many communities across the United States. The pace of change appears to be slower than in many urban areas, which is not uncommon for smaller, more rural communities.
The economic fluctuations, particularly the recent decline in median income, may reflect broader economic challenges faced by many small communities in the post-pandemic era.
Tubac is experiencing a gradual transition towards greater diversity, moving from a Low Diversity to a Moderate Diversity community over the past decade. While this demographic shift initially corresponded with economic growth, recent years have seen a decline in median income despite continued diversification. This suggests a complex interplay between demographic changes and economic factors in this small Arizona community.