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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Deepwater, Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. With a population of 1,055 in 2022, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the years. The total number of violent crimes has seen significant changes, from 2 incidents in 2010 to 0 in both 2014 and 2017, representing a 100% decrease. During this same period, the population grew slightly from 1,017 in 2010 to 1,055 in 2022, an increase of about 3.7%.
Regarding murder trends, the data shows no reported cases of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter throughout the years for which data is available (2010, 2014, and 2017). This consistent zero rate suggests that the city has maintained a remarkably low incidence of the most serious violent crimes. The murder rate per 1,000 people remains at 0, and the percentage of state crime for this category is consistently 0%, indicating that Deepwater does not contribute to the state's murder statistics.
Similarly, rape incidents show a consistent pattern of zero reported cases across the examined years. The rape rate per 1,000 people is 0, and the city accounts for 0% of the state's rape crimes. This statistic suggests that the city has been successful in maintaining a safe environment for its residents in terms of sexual violence.
Robbery trends mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported cases in 2010, 2014, and 2017. The robbery rate per 1,000 people remains at 0, and the city's contribution to state robbery statistics is 0%. This consistent absence of robbery cases indicates a very low risk of property-related violent crime in the area.
Aggravated assault is the only category of violent crime that shows any reported incidents. In 2010, there were 2 cases of aggravated assault, representing 0.01% of the state's total. However, this figure dropped to 0 in both 2014 and 2017. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people was approximately 1.97 in 2010 (based on the 2010 population of 1,017) but decreased to 0 in subsequent years. This represents a 100% decrease in aggravated assault cases from 2010 to 2014, which was maintained through 2017.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most notable relationship is with population density. The city's population density increased from 1,198 per square mile in 2010 to 1,243 in 2022. Interestingly, this increase in density coincided with a decrease in violent crime, particularly aggravated assault. This suggests that the increased population density has not led to an increase in violent crime, contrary to what might be expected in some urban environments.
Racial distribution shows a strong correlation with the crime trends. The data indicates that the city has remained predominantly white, with the percentage of white residents increasing slightly from 94% in 2014 to 96% in 2022. This stable racial composition coincides with the period of zero reported violent crimes, suggesting a possible correlation between demographic stability and low crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's reasonable to forecast that the violent crime trends in Deepwater will likely remain low or potentially at zero for the next five years, extending to 2029. This prediction is based on the consistent zero crime rates observed in most recent years and the stable population and demographic trends.
In summary, Deepwater demonstrates a remarkably low and decreasing trend in violent crime. The most significant discovery is the complete absence of reported murders, rapes, and robberies, and the substantial decrease in aggravated assaults from 2010 to 2014, which has been maintained. These trends, coupled with the stable population growth and consistent racial composition, paint a picture of a small city that has achieved and maintained a high level of public safety. As we look towards 2029, if current trends continue, Deepwater is poised to remain a model of low violent crime rates among small American cities.