Robbery rates in the city have been consistently low, with most years reporting zero incidents. The highest number of robberies recorded was one per year in 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, and 2019. These incidents represented between 0% and 0.02% of the state's total robberies. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents never exceeded 0.17, indicating that robbery is not a significant concern for the community.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city, showing considerable variation over the years. The number of incidents ranged from a high of 25 in 2010 to a low of 6 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 4.36 in 2010 and reached its lowest point at 1.04 in 2022. The percentage of state aggravated assaults fluctuated between 0.01% and 0.17%, with the highest percentage occurring in 2010. Despite these fluctuations, there's a general downward trend in aggravated assaults, particularly evident in the most recent years.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density decreased from its peak of 1,933 per square mile in 2014 to 1,687 in 2022, violent crimes generally trended downward, though not consistently. The racial composition of the city has remained predominantly white, with the percentage ranging from 90% to 95% over the years, showing no strong correlation with crime trends.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that violent crime rates will continue to decrease moderately over the next five years, reaching 2029. The model suggests that aggravated assaults, which comprise the majority of violent crimes in the city, may stabilize at around 5-7 incidents per year. Rape and robbery incidents are expected to remain sporadic and infrequent, likely not exceeding one or two cases per year, if any.

In summary, Cassville has demonstrated a general trend towards reduced violent crime rates over the past decade, particularly in aggravated assaults. The community has maintained very low rates of murder and robbery, with rape incidents fluctuating but remaining relatively rare. These trends, coupled with the stable demographic composition and slight population growth, suggest a community that has become increasingly safer over time. The projected continued decrease in violent crime rates indicates a positive outlook for public safety in Cassville for the foreseeable future.