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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Timber Valley, a neighborhood in Kansas City, Missouri, has experienced significant shifts in its housing market over the past decade. This analysis explores the trends in homeownership rates, average home prices, and average rent prices, providing insights into the evolving dynamics of this community.
The homeownership rate in Timber Valley has shown a general decline from 2013 to 2022, with some fluctuations. In 2013, the homeownership rate stood at 80%, but by 2022, it had decreased to 71%. This downward trend coincides with a substantial increase in average home prices. In 2013, the average home price was $175,681, which rose steadily to reach $337,426 by 2022, representing a 92% increase over this period.
The relationship between federal interest rates and homeownership rates in Timber Valley shows some correlation. For instance, when interest rates were at historic lows between 2013 and 2016 (ranging from 0.11% to 0.40%), homeownership rates remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 73% and 80%. However, as interest rates began to rise from 2017 onwards, reaching 1.68% in 2022, homeownership rates showed a more pronounced decline, dropping to 71% in 2022.
Renter percentages in Timber Valley have generally increased as homeownership rates declined. In 2013, renters made up 19% of the population, which increased to 29% by 2022. This trend aligns with the rise in average rent prices, which increased from $1,124 in 2013 to $1,095 in 2022. However, it's worth noting that rent prices peaked at $1,259 in 2017 before showing some moderation in subsequent years.
Looking at the most recent data, the average home price in Timber Valley reached $344,280 in 2023 and further increased to $350,038 in 2024. This continued upward trajectory occurs despite the sharp rise in federal interest rates, which stood at 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024. These higher interest rates typically make mortgages more expensive, potentially impacting homeownership affordability.
Applying predictive models to forecast 5-year trends, we anticipate that average home prices in Timber Valley will continue to rise, albeit at a potentially slower rate due to the current high interest rate environment. We project that by 2029, average home prices could reach approximately $400,000 to $425,000, assuming a moderate annual growth rate of 3-4%. For rent prices, we expect a more modest increase, potentially reaching an average of $1,200 to $1,300 per month by 2029, factoring in historical trends and anticipated economic conditions.
In summary, Timber Valley has experienced a notable decrease in homeownership rates coupled with significant increases in average home prices over the past decade. The rental market has seen growth in both the percentage of renters and average rent prices, although rent prices have shown some moderation in recent years. The neighborhood's housing market appears to be responding to broader economic factors, including interest rate changes, and continues to evolve. The coming years are likely to see further increases in both home prices and rents, albeit potentially at a more moderate pace than in the recent past.