Loading Content...
Bluff City's Property Crime Trends: Small Tennessee Urban Area Shows Overall Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Bluff City, Tennessee, a small municipality with a land area of 1.75 square miles, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 32.26%, from 31 incidents to 21. During this same period, the population grew by 11.49%, from 7,868 to 8,772 residents, indicating a divergence between population growth and crime rates.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant variability. In 2010, there were 6 burglaries, which peaked at 16 in 2014, before declining to just 3 in 2022. This represents a 50% decrease from 2010 to 2022. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.76 in 2010 to 0.34 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.06% in 2017 before dropping to 0.02% in 2022. This overall downward trend in burglaries suggests improved security measures or changes in local law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft incidents have also decreased over time. From 25 cases in 2010, the number dropped to 11 in 2022, a 56% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 3.18 in 2010 to 1.25 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft cases remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.01% and 0.04% throughout the period. This consistent decrease in larceny-theft could indicate more effective crime prevention efforts or improved economic conditions in the area.
Motor vehicle theft trends show a different pattern. From no reported cases in 2010, the number increased to 7 in 2022. This translates to a rate of 0.80 per 1,000 residents in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts rose from 0% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2022. This increase, while small in absolute numbers, represents a significant percentage change and may warrant attention from local law enforcement.
Arson incidents in the city have been rare, with only one reported case in 2014, accounting for 0.14% of state arsons that year. The absence of arson in other years suggests it is not a persistent problem in the community.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $39,164 in 2013 to $57,389 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 51 to 21. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime.
Applying predictive models based on current trends, it's estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), Bluff City may see a further reduction in overall property crimes to around 15-18 incidents annually. Burglaries and larceny-theft are likely to continue their downward trend, potentially reaching 1-2 and 8-10 cases respectively. However, motor vehicle thefts may stabilize or slightly increase to 8-9 annual incidents if current trends persist.
In conclusion, Bluff City has experienced a general decline in property crimes despite population growth, with notable improvements in burglary and larceny-theft rates. The rise in motor vehicle thefts, while concerning, remains relatively low in absolute numbers. These trends, coupled with rising median incomes, suggest a potentially improving quality of life for residents. However, continued vigilance and adaptive law enforcement strategies will be crucial to maintain and further improve these positive trends in the coming years.
_tennessee%2Fen-population-population-density-tennessee-nashville-davidson-metropolitan-government-(balance)-duncanwood-brookmeade.webp%3F&w=3840&q=75)
