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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Adrian, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. With a population of 1,777 in 2022, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the years. The total number of violent crimes in Adrian has been notably low, with only one reported incident in 2015 and no recorded violent crimes in 2013. This represents a 100% increase in violent crime from 2013 to 2015, while the population decreased by 2.6% during the same period, from 1,757 to 1,711 residents.
Examining the murder rate, Adrian has maintained a consistent record of zero reported murders in both 2013 and 2015, the only years for which data is available. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people, which has remained unchanged despite population fluctuations. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consistently been 0%, indicating that Adrian has not impacted Georgia's overall murder rates during this period.
Regarding rape statistics, the data available for Adrian is insufficient to conduct a meaningful analysis. The dataset reports "No Data Available" for rape incidents in both 2013 and 2015, making it impossible to discern any trends or make comparisons to state-level statistics for this particular crime category.
Robbery trends in Adrian mirror those of murder, with zero reported incidents in both 2013 and 2015. This consistency is maintained despite the population decrease during this period. The robbery rate per 1,000 people remains at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics is consistently 0%.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category that shows a change in Adrian. In 2013, there were no reported aggravated assaults. However, in 2015, one incident was recorded, representing an increase from 0 to 0.58 incidents per 1,000 people. This single incident accounted for 0.01% of the state's aggravated assaults in 2015, up from 0% in 2013. While this change appears significant in percentage terms, it's important to note that in absolute numbers, it represents a minimal increase in a small community.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the limited data makes it challenging to establish strong connections. However, it's worth noting that the slight increase in violent crime (from 0 to 1 incident) occurred during a period when the population density decreased from 1,277 per square mile in 2013 to 1,244 in 2015. Concurrently, the median rent increased from $456 in 2013 to $496 in 2015. The racial composition remained relatively stable during this period, with the white population increasing slightly from 79% to 82%, while the black population decreased from 18% to 16%.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends in Adrian is challenging due to the limited data points and the extremely low crime rates. However, based on the available information, it's reasonable to project that violent crime rates will likely remain very low in the coming years. By 2029, which is five years from now, the city may continue to see occasional isolated incidents of violent crime, potentially averaging less than one incident per year.
In summary, Adrian exhibits remarkably low violent crime rates, with only one recorded incident over the observed period. The most significant finding is the occurrence of a single aggravated assault in 2015, which represents the entirety of the city's violent crime during the years analyzed. This low crime rate, coupled with the small population size, suggests that Adrian remains a relatively safe community with minimal impact on Georgia's overall violent crime statistics. The challenge for the city will be to maintain these low crime rates as it experiences population fluctuations and economic changes in the future.