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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Zip code 93254, located in New Cuyama, California, presents a case study of a small rural community with fluctuating demographics and housing trends. This area has experienced significant shifts in homeownership rates and housing prices over the past decade, reflecting broader economic and social changes in the region.
The homeownership rate in zip code 93254 has shown considerable variation from 2013 to 2022. Starting at 66% in 2013, it dropped to a low of 59% in 2018 before rising sharply to 75% in 2022. This increase in homeownership coincided with a substantial rise in average home prices. From 2016 to 2022, average home prices in the area increased from $151,914 to $246,589, representing a 62% increase over six years.
Federal interest rates have played a significant role in shaping homeownership trends in this zip code. The period from 2013 to 2016 saw historically low interest rates, ranging from 0.09% to 0.40%. During this time, homeownership rates remained relatively stable, hovering around 65%. However, as interest rates began to rise more significantly from 2017 (1%) to 2019 (2.16%), we observed a dip in homeownership to 59% in 2018. Interestingly, despite rising interest rates, homeownership rebounded strongly to 75% by 2022, possibly indicating other local economic factors at play.
Renter percentages in zip code 93254 have generally moved inversely to homeownership rates. From a high of 40% in 2018 and 2019, the percentage of renters decreased to 25% by 2022. Average rent prices have shown some volatility, rising from $908 in 2013 to a peak of $1,054 in 2015, before settling at $932 in 2022. The population fluctuated between 161 and 208 residents during this period, which may have influenced rental market dynamics in this small community.
In 2023 and 2024, we see some interesting developments in the housing market for zip code 93254. The average home price in 2023 was $232,949, showing a slight decrease from 2022. However, in 2024, the average home price has increased to $244,399. This occurs against the backdrop of significantly higher interest rates, with 2023 seeing a rate of 5.02% and 2024 experiencing a further increase to 5.33%.
Looking ahead, we can project potential trends for the next five years. Based on historical data and current economic conditions, we might expect average home prices in zip code 93254 to continue a moderate upward trajectory, potentially reaching around $275,000 by 2029. Rent prices may also see a gradual increase, possibly approaching $1,200 per month in the same timeframe, assuming consistent economic growth and demand in the area.
In summary, zip code 93254 has demonstrated resilience in its housing market, with increasing homeownership rates despite rising home prices and interest rates. The inverse relationship between homeownership and rental rates suggests a shifting preference towards ownership in recent years. The community's small size makes it susceptible to significant percentage changes based on relatively small numerical shifts in population or housing status. As we look to the future, the area may continue to see growth in home values and rental prices, albeit at a more moderate pace than in recent years.