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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Elkville, located in zip code 62932 in Illinois, presents an interesting case study of housing trends over the past decade. This small community has experienced notable shifts in homeownership rates and housing prices, reflecting broader economic changes and local demographic dynamics.
The homeownership rate in Elkville has shown a gradual decline from 2013 to 2022. In 2013, 75% of residents were homeowners, but by 2022, this figure had decreased to 66%. This 9 percentage point drop coincided with fluctuations in average home prices. The average home price in 2021 was $78,409, rising to $80,315 in 2022, indicating a modest upward trend in property values.
The relationship between federal interest rates and homeownership rates in Elkville appears to follow general economic principles. As interest rates remained low from 2013 to 2020, hovering between 0.08% and 0.4%, the homeownership rate remained relatively stable, only declining slightly. However, as interest rates began to rise more sharply in 2022 to 1.68%, we see a more pronounced drop in homeownership, suggesting that higher borrowing costs may have deterred potential buyers.
Conversely, the percentage of renters in Elkville has increased from 25% in 2013 to 34% in 2022. This rise in renter-occupied housing has been accompanied by a general upward trend in average rent prices. In 2013, the average rent was $639, which increased to $671 by 2022, representing a 5% increase over nine years. The population of Elkville peaked in 2015 at 2,262 residents but has since declined to 1,700 in 2022, which may have influenced the rental market dynamics.
Looking at the most recent data, the average home price in Elkville reached $81,273 in 2023, showing continued appreciation. However, in 2024, there was a notable decrease to $74,004, a drop of nearly 9%. This decline coincides with a significant increase in federal interest rates, which rose to 5.02% in 2023 and further to 5.33% in 2024. These higher interest rates likely contributed to the cooling of the housing market and the decrease in average home prices.
Applying predictive models to forecast 5-year trends, we anticipate that average home prices in Elkville may continue to face downward pressure in the short term due to the current high interest rate environment. However, as the market adjusts, prices could stabilize and potentially see modest growth in the latter part of the 5-year period. For rent prices, the trend suggests a continued gradual increase, potentially reaching around $700-$725 by the end of the 5-year forecast, assuming consistent economic conditions and local population trends.
In summary, Elkville has experienced a shift towards a higher proportion of renters over the past decade, with a corresponding decline in homeownership rates. Average home prices have shown volatility, particularly with the recent decrease in 2024, while rent prices have seen a steady but modest increase. The interplay between interest rates, local population changes, and broader economic factors will likely continue to shape the housing market in this Illinois community in the coming years.