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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Zip code 38138, located in Germantown, Tennessee, has experienced notable shifts in homeownership rates and property values over the past decade. This area has maintained a high percentage of owner-occupied homes, with average housing prices showing a consistent upward trend.
The homeownership rate in zip code 38138 has remained relatively stable, with minor fluctuations between 2013 and 2022. In 2013, the ownership rate stood at 78%, and by 2022, it had increased slightly to 79%. During this period, average home prices in the area saw significant growth. In 2013, the average home price was $238,468, which steadily increased to $431,656 by 2022, representing an impressive 81% increase over nine years.
Federal interest rates have played a role in homeownership trends in zip code 38138. From 2013 to 2016, when interest rates were historically low (ranging from 0.11% to 0.4%), homeownership rates remained stable at 78%. As interest rates began to rise from 2017 onwards, there was a slight dip in homeownership to 75% in 2019. However, the area saw a resurgence in homeownership, reaching 79% by 2022, despite rising interest rates. This suggests that other factors, such as local economic conditions and housing demand, may have offset the impact of higher interest rates on homeownership in this zip code.
Renter percentages in zip code 38138 have shown slight variations over the years, inversely mirroring the homeownership trends. The renter-occupied rate increased from 21% in 2013 to 25% in 2019, before decreasing back to 21% in 2022. Average rent prices have fluctuated during this period. In 2013, the average rent was $1,407, which peaked at $1,763 in 2016, representing a 25% increase. However, by 2022, the average rent had decreased to $1,382, slightly below the 2013 level. This trend suggests that despite the overall increase in property values, rental prices have remained relatively stable in recent years.
In 2023 and 2024, the average home prices in zip code 38138 continued their upward trajectory, reaching $440,391 in 2023 and $448,307 in 2024. This represents a modest year-over-year increase of 1.8% from 2023 to 2024. Notably, federal interest rates have also risen significantly during this period, reaching 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024, which are the highest levels since 2007.
Looking ahead, based on historical trends and current market conditions, we can project continued growth in average home prices for zip code 38138 over the next five years. Assuming a conservative annual growth rate of 2-3%, average home prices could potentially reach $500,000-$520,000 by 2029. Rent prices, which have shown more volatility, may stabilize or see modest increases, potentially reaching an average of $1,500-$1,600 per month in the same timeframe.
In summary, zip code 38138 in Germantown, Tennessee, has demonstrated resilience in its housing market. Despite fluctuations in federal interest rates, the area has maintained high homeownership rates and experienced substantial growth in average home values. While rental rates have shown some variability, they have remained relatively stable in recent years. The continued upward trend in home prices, even in the face of rising interest rates, suggests a strong and desirable housing market in this zip code.