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Zavalla, Texas: Violent Crime Decline Amid Population Decrease
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Zavalla, a small city in Texas, has experienced a notable improvement in violent crime rates from 2021 to 2022. The total number of violent crimes decreased from 3 to 1, marking a substantial 66.67% reduction. This significant drop occurred alongside a slight population decrease from 2,411 to 2,251 residents, representing a 6.64% decline.
During this period, Zavalla maintained a record of zero reported cases for murder, rape, and robbery. The absence of these serious crimes in both years suggests a relatively safe environment for residents. The murder, rape, and robbery rates per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the city's contribution to state statistics for these crimes was consistently 0%.
Aggravated assault was the only violent crime category that showed activity and change in Zavalla. In 2021, there were 3 cases of aggravated assault, which decreased to 1 case in 2022, representing a 66.67% reduction. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 people decreased from 1.24 in 2021 to 0.44 in 2022. Despite this local decrease, the city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics remained at 0% for both years, indicating that these incidents had minimal impact on state-level crime figures.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors in Zavalla, the most notable relationship appears to be with population changes. The decrease in aggravated assaults coincided with a population decrease, suggesting a possible link between population dynamics and violent crime rates. However, given the limited data set and small numbers involved, this correlation should be interpreted cautiously.
Applying predictive models based on the available data for Zavalla is challenging due to the limited time frame and low crime numbers. However, if the current trend continues, the violent crime rate in the city might be expected to remain low or potentially decrease further over the next five years, up to 2029. The city could potentially see years with zero reported violent crimes if the declining trend persists.
In summary, Zavalla has experienced a notable decrease in violent crimes, particularly in aggravated assaults, over the observed period. The absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, combined with the decline in aggravated assaults, paints a picture of a community with improving safety conditions. These trends, if sustained, could contribute to an enhanced quality of life for residents and potentially attract new inhabitants or businesses to the area. However, continued monitoring and proactive community safety measures will be crucial to maintain and further improve these positive trends in Zavalla.
