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Winfield's Violent Crime Trends: A Stable Small Community
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Winfield, located in Tennessee, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2017, the total number of violent crimes in the city remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 2 and 4 incidents annually. Over this period, the population experienced minor fluctuations, starting at 2,943 in 2010 and ending at 3,026 in 2017, representing a modest growth of 2.8%.
The murder rate in Winfield shows sporadic occurrences rather than a consistent trend. In most years, there were no reported murders. However, the city experienced single murder incidents in 2012 and 2016. These isolated events had a significant impact on the per capita rate due to the small population. In 2012, with a population of 2,855, the murder rate was approximately 0.35 per 1,000 residents. Similarly, in 2016, with 2,781 residents, the rate was about 0.36 per 1,000. These incidents represented 0.36% and 0.32% of the state's total murders in their respective years, indicating a disproportionate impact for such a small community.
Rape incidents in Winfield were rare, with only one reported case in 2014. This single incident, occurring when the population was 2,844, resulted in a rate of approximately 0.35 per 1,000 residents. It accounted for 0.05% of the state's total rapes that year. The infrequency of these incidents makes it challenging to establish a meaningful trend or draw broader conclusions about sexual violence in the city.
Robbery trends in Winfield were minimal, with only one reported incident in 2013. This single robbery, occurring when the population was 2,871, resulted in a rate of about 0.35 per 1,000 residents and represented 0.01% of the state's total robberies that year. The lack of recurrent robbery incidents suggests that this type of crime is not a persistent issue in the community.
Aggravated assault was the most consistent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents ranged from 1 to 3 per year between 2010 and 2017. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, reaching its highest in 2014 with 3 incidents (approximately 1.05 per 1,000 residents) and its lowest in 2012 and 2013 with 1 incident each (about 0.35 per 1,000 residents). The city's contribution to the state's total aggravated assaults remained low, ranging from 0.01% to 0.02% during this period.
When examining correlations, the most notable relationship appears to be between population density and violent crime rates. Years with higher population density, such as 2011 (446 people per square mile) and 2017 (445 people per square mile), tended to have slightly higher numbers of violent crimes (2 and 3 incidents, respectively). However, this correlation is not strong enough to be conclusive given the small number of incidents overall.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's challenging to forecast with high confidence due to the low and inconsistent number of incidents. However, if current trends continue, we might expect the total number of violent crimes in Winfield to remain between 2 to 4 incidents annually through 2029. Aggravated assaults are likely to continue being the most common form of violent crime, potentially averaging 2 to 3 incidents per year.
In summary, Winfield demonstrates a relatively low and stable violent crime rate, with aggravated assaults being the most consistent concern. The sporadic nature of more serious crimes like murder and rape, while impactful when they occur, does not indicate a sustained pattern of severe violence in the community. The city's contribution to state-wide crime statistics remains minimal, reflecting its small size and generally peaceful nature.
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