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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Wellston, located in Oklahoma, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2019 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, starting at 0 in 2019, rising to 1 in 2020, dropping back to 0 in 2021, and returning to 1 in 2022. This represents a 100% increase over the four-year period. During the same timeframe, the population decreased slightly from 1,948 in 2019 to 1,906 in 2022, a decline of 2.16%.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city maintained a consistent record of zero incidents from 2019 through 2022. This stability is notable, especially considering the minor population fluctuations. The rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the percentage of state crime for this category was consistently 0% throughout the period.
Similarly, rape incidents in the city showed no occurrence from 2019 to 2022. The rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for rape both remained at 0% during this time frame, indicating a positive aspect of public safety in the community.
Robbery trends mirrored those of murder and rape, with zero incidents reported from 2019 to 2022. This consistency is noteworthy, especially given the slight population decrease. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for robbery remained at 0% throughout the period.
Aggravated assault showed the only variation in violent crime statistics for the city. There were no incidents in 2019, followed by 1 incident in 2020, 0 in 2021, and 1 again in 2022. This translates to a rate of 0.57 per 1,000 people in 2020 and 0.52 per 1,000 people in 2022, based on the respective populations. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault was 0.01% in both 2020 and 2022, the years when incidents occurred.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship with population density. As the population density decreased from 1,191 per square mile in 2019 to 1,165 in 2022, there was a slight increase in violent crime (from 0 to 1 incident). However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited data and low number of incidents. However, based on the current pattern, it's reasonable to project that the city may continue to experience between 0 to 1 violent crime incidents annually, with aggravated assault being the most likely form of violent crime to occur.
In summary, Wellston demonstrates a remarkably low and stable violent crime rate across most categories. The occasional occurrence of aggravated assault represents the primary concern in an otherwise safe community. These findings suggest that while the city has maintained a generally secure environment, continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies could be beneficial in addressing the sporadic incidents of aggravated assault.