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Weatherby Lake, Missouri: Violent Crime Trends Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Weatherby Lake, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2011 to 2017, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, starting at 4 in 2011 and ending at 1 in 2017, representing a 75% decrease. During this same period, the population grew from 3,492 in 2011 to 4,051 in 2017, an increase of approximately 16%.
The murder rate in this small city has remained consistently at zero from 2011 to 2017, with no reported cases of murder or nonnegligent manslaughter. This stability in the absence of murders persists despite the population growth, maintaining a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents throughout the period. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consequently remained at 0% throughout these years.
Rape incidents in the city were nonexistent from 2011 to 2016, with the first reported case occurring in 2017. This single incident resulted in a rate of 0.25 rapes per 1,000 residents in 2017. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics jumped from 0% to 0.05% in 2017, indicating that while rare, this crime had a noticeable impact on the city's violent crime profile that year.
Robbery trends show minimal activity, with only one reported case in 2016. This single incident resulted in a rate of 0.25 robberies per 1,000 residents for that year. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics was 0.02% in 2016, the only year with a recorded robbery. The absence of robberies in other years suggests this was an isolated incident rather than a persistent trend.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated, peaking at 4 cases in 2011 (1.15 per 1,000 residents) and dropping to 0 in 2015 and 2017. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics varied, reaching a high of 0.03% in 2011 and falling to 0% in years with no reported cases. This variability suggests that while aggravated assault is the most common violent crime, it's still relatively rare and inconsistent in occurrence.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population growth and violent crime rates. As the population increased from 3,492 in 2011 to 4,051 in 2017, the total number of violent crimes generally decreased, with some fluctuations. However, the small number of incidents makes it difficult to establish strong statistical correlations.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the low and inconsistent number of incidents. However, based on the overall downward trend observed from 2011 to 2017, it's reasonable to project that violent crime rates may continue to remain low or potentially decrease further, assuming no significant changes in local conditions or demographics.
In summary, Weatherby Lake has maintained relatively low violent crime rates from 2011 to 2017, with aggravated assault being the most common but still infrequent offense. The absence of murders, rare occurrences of rape and robbery, and the general decline in aggravated assaults paint a picture of a community with improving safety metrics despite population growth. These trends suggest that Weatherby Lake has been successful in maintaining a low violent crime environment, which is a positive indicator for the quality of life and safety of its residents.
