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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Wright City, Missouri, a small city with a population of 5,448 in 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 6 to 18, representing a 200% increase. During this same period, the population grew by 26.3%, from 4,315 to 5,448 residents.
The city has fortunately not recorded any murders from 2010 to 2022, maintaining a consistent 0% of the state's murder rate. This absence of homicides, despite population growth, indicates a positive trend in public safety for the most serious violent crime category.
Rape incidents have shown variability over the years. The city reported 1 case in 2010, peaked at 4 cases in 2018, and then decreased to 2 cases in 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.23 in 2010 to 0.37 in 2022. The percentage of state rape cases attributable to the city fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.2% in 2018 before settling at 0.09% in 2022. This trend suggests a need for continued vigilance and prevention efforts.
Robbery rates have remained relatively low, with a maximum of 2 cases reported in 2012 and 2013, and no robberies reported in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.42 in 2012 and dropped to 0 by 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery cases has been minimal, never exceeding 0.04% and reaching 0% in 2022, indicating a positive trend in this category of violent crime.
Aggravated assault has shown the most significant fluctuations. Cases rose from 5 in 2010 to a peak of 16 in 2012, then declined to 1 in 2018, before increasing again to 16 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people varied accordingly, from 1.16 in 2010 to 2.94 in 2022. The city's percentage of state aggravated assaults peaked at 0.11% in 2012 and stood at 0.09% in 2022. This recent uptick warrants attention from local law enforcement and community leaders.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between the city's changing demographics and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased from 91% in 2013 to 81% in 2022, and the Hispanic population grew from 1% to 7% during the same period, violent crime rates showed an overall increase. However, it's important to note that correlation does not imply causation, and multiple factors likely contribute to crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on historical data, it's projected that by 2029, Wright City may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 22-25 incidents annually if current trends continue. This forecast assumes similar growth patterns in population and demographic shifts.
In summary, Wright City has experienced varying trends across different categories of violent crime over the past decade. While the absence of murders is commendable, the recent uptick in aggravated assaults and the fluctuations in rape cases highlight areas requiring focused attention. As the city continues to grow and diversify, it will be crucial for local authorities to adapt their strategies to maintain public safety and address the changing needs of the community.