Robbery trends in the city remained relatively stable at low levels. The highest number of robberies was 3 in both 2013 and 2018, representing 1.76% and 1.61% of the state's total respectively. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.79 in 2013 and decreased to 0.25 in 2022. This suggests that while robberies persist, they have not increased proportionally with population growth, indicating effective crime prevention or reporting measures.

Aggravated assault emerges as the most prevalent violent crime in Wolf Point. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated, peaking at 30 in 2020 (1.58% of the state's total) and settling at 21 in 2022 (0.89% of the state's total). The rate per 1,000 people for aggravated assault was highest in 2020 at 7.09 and decreased to 5.28 in 2022. This crime category shows the most volatility and represents the largest portion of violent crimes in the city.

Analyzing correlations, there appears to be a relationship between the Native American population percentage and violent crime rates. As the Native American population increased from 56% in 2013 to 60% in 2022, violent crime rates showed some corresponding fluctuations. Additionally, the rising median rent, from $402 in 2013 to $619 in 2022, coincides with periods of both increases and decreases in violent crime, suggesting a complex relationship that may involve economic factors.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a slight overall increase in violent crimes. Based on historical patterns, aggravated assaults are likely to remain the dominant form of violent crime, potentially reaching 25-28 incidents annually. Robbery rates are expected to remain low but consistent, possibly averaging 1-2 incidents per year. Rape incidents may continue their downward trend, potentially remaining at or near zero. Murder rates are predicted to stay extremely low, with the possibility of isolated incidents not exceeding one per year.

In summary, Wolf Point has shown resilience in managing violent crime despite population growth. The most significant concerns revolve around aggravated assaults, while other violent crimes remain relatively low or show improving trends. The correlation between demographic shifts, economic factors, and crime rates underscores the complex nature of crime dynamics in the city. As Wolf Point continues to evolve, maintaining focus on reducing aggravated assaults while preserving the positive trends in other crime categories will be crucial for ensuring community safety and well-being.