Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Willowick, Ohio: A Decade of Demographic Shifts and Safety Improvements
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Willowick, located in Ohio, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in the city decreased from 12 to 7, representing a 41.67% reduction. During this same period, the population remained relatively stable, growing slightly from 14,206 in 2010 to 14,213 in 2022, an increase of just 0.05%.
The murder rate in Willowick has shown significant volatility, albeit with very low numbers. In 2010, there was one reported case of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, representing 0.25% of the state's total. This equated to a rate of 0.07 per 1,000 residents. However, by 2011 and continuing through 2022, there were no reported murders in the city. This dramatic decrease from one incident to zero translates to a 100% reduction in the murder rate, bringing the city's contribution to the state's murder statistics down to 0%.
Rape incidents in the city have also seen a notable decline. In 2010, there were 5 reported cases, constituting 0.19% of the state's total and a rate of 0.35 per 1,000 residents. By 2022, there were no reported rape cases, marking a 100% decrease. This significant reduction brought the city's contribution to the state's rape statistics down from 0.19% to 0%.
Robbery trends in Willowick have shown some fluctuation but an overall decrease. In 2010, there were 4 reported robberies, representing 0.03% of the state's total and a rate of 0.28 per 1,000 residents. By 2022, this number had decreased to 1 incident, a 75% reduction. Despite this decrease, the city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics remained relatively stable, moving from 0.03% to 0.02%.
Aggravated assault cases have seen an increase over the observed period. In 2010, there were 2 reported cases, constituting 0.02% of the state's total and a rate of 0.14 per 1,000 residents. By 2022, this number had risen to 6 incidents, a 200% increase. This rise has led to an increase in the city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics, from 0.02% to 0.03%.
A notable correlation exists between the city's racial demographics and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased from 94% in 2013 to 87% in 2022, there was a corresponding increase in aggravated assaults. Concurrently, the black population grew from 1% to 8% during this period. This demographic shift coincides with the rise in aggravated assaults, suggesting a potential relationship between changing racial dynamics and certain types of violent crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a potential continuation of the current trends. The murder rate is likely to remain at or near zero, given the consistent absence of such incidents in recent years. Rape cases may continue to be rare or non-existent, maintaining the positive trend observed. Robbery incidents are projected to remain low, possibly fluctuating between 0-2 cases annually. However, aggravated assaults may continue to show an upward trend, potentially reaching 8-10 cases per year by 2029 if current patterns persist.
In summary, Willowick has experienced a mixed trend in violent crime over the past decade. While murders, rapes, and robberies have significantly decreased, aggravated assaults have risen. These trends, coupled with subtle demographic shifts, paint a complex picture of the city's evolving safety landscape. As Willowick moves forward, monitoring these trends and understanding their underlying factors will be crucial for maintaining and improving public safety.
