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Violent Crime Trends in White Hall, Illinois: A Decade of Fluctuations Amidst Population Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
White Hall, located in Illinois, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2020, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, ranging from a low of 1 in 2010 to a high of 17 in 2012. During this period, the population also saw changes, decreasing from 3,063 in 2010 to 2,806.5 in 2020, representing an 8.37% decline.
The murder rate in White Hall has remained consistently at zero from 2010 to 2020, with no reported cases of murder or nonnegligent manslaughter. This stability in the absence of murders is noteworthy, especially considering the population changes. The percentage of state crime for murder has consequently remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating that the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variability. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, which equated to 0.33 incidents per 1,000 people and 0.06% of the state's total. The number fluctuated in subsequent years, with no reported cases in 2012 and 2013, rising to 3 cases in 2018 (1.04 per 1,000 people and 0.07% of state total), and then dropping back to 0 in 2020. This volatility in a small population can significantly impact per capita rates and state percentages.
Robbery trends in White Hall have been minimal. From 2010 to 2016, there were no reported robberies. The first reported incident occurred in 2017, with 1 case (0.33 per 1,000 people and 0.01% of state total). This number remained consistent in 2018 but dropped back to 0 in 2020. The low occurrence of robberies suggests that this type of crime is not a significant concern for the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. In 2010, there were no reported cases, but this spiked to 17 cases in 2012 (5.36 per 1,000 people and 0.07% of state total). The numbers then fluctuated, with 7 cases in 2013, 5 cases in 2015, and 6 cases in 2020 (2.14 per 1,000 people and 0.02% of state total). This crime type has shown the most variability and has been the primary driver of violent crime statistics in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,188 per square mile in 2010 to 1,088 in 2020, there was a general trend of decreasing violent crime incidents, particularly in aggravated assaults. The racial composition of the city, predominantly white (95-98% throughout the period), has remained stable and does not show a strong correlation with crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), White Hall may see a slight decrease in overall violent crime incidents. The trend suggests that aggravated assaults could stabilize around 4-5 cases per year, while rape and robbery incidents may remain sporadic and low, potentially averaging less than 1 case per year each. The murder rate is expected to remain at zero, continuing the city's trend of no reported murders.
In summary, White Hall has experienced relatively low levels of violent crime, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders, low robbery rates, and fluctuating but generally low rape incidents paint a picture of a community that, while not crime-free, manages to maintain a relatively safe environment for its residents. The declining population and density appear to have some influence on crime rates, suggesting that demographic changes may continue to play a role in the city's crime landscape moving forward.
