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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
West Yellowstone, Montana, is a small community with a population of 1,353 as of 2022. This analysis examines the violent crime trends in the city from 2010 to 2022. Over this period, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, ranging from a low of 0 in 2015 to a high of 8 in 2019. The population decreased by 2% from 1,381 in 2010 to 1,353 in 2022, providing context for the crime rate changes.
Regarding murder trends, West Yellowstone reported no murders throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This consistent absence of murders is notable, especially considering the small population size. The murder rate per 1,000 people remained at zero, and the percentage of state murders was consistently 0% throughout the studied period.
Rape incidents in the city were rare, with only one reported case in 2013. This single incident represented 0.47% of the state's total rapes for that year. The rape rate per 1,000 people was approximately 0.58 in 2013, based on the population of 1,712 that year. For all other years in the dataset, there were no reported rapes, resulting in a rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of the state's total.
Robbery trends in West Yellowstone were similarly low, with only two incidents reported over the 13-year period. One robbery occurred in 2010, representing 1.09% of the state's total robberies, and another in 2017, accounting for 0.45% of the state's robberies. The robbery rate per 1,000 people was approximately 0.72 in 2010 and 0.76 in 2017, based on the respective populations of those years. For all other years, the robbery rate was 0 per 1,000 people.
Aggravated assault was the most common violent crime in the city, with numbers fluctuating over the years. The highest number of aggravated assaults was recorded in 2019 with 8 incidents, representing 0.52% of the state's total. The lowest numbers were 0 in 2013 and 2015. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 people varied, reaching a peak of about 7.04 in 2019 (based on a population of 1,137) and dropping to 0.75 per 1,000 in 2022 (2 incidents with a population of 1,353).
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates in the city. As the population density decreased from 1,521 per square mile in 2010 to 1,490 per square mile in 2022, there was a general trend of decreased violent crime, with some fluctuations. The racial composition of the city also changed significantly during this period, with the white population decreasing from 93% in 2015 to 63% in 2022, while the Hispanic population increased from 5% to 30% in the same period. However, there is no clear correlation between these demographic changes and violent crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the number of violent crimes to remain relatively low, likely fluctuating between 1 to 4 incidents per year. This prediction is based on the historical data showing low but variable crime rates in the city.
In summary, West Yellowstone has maintained relatively low violent crime rates from 2010 to 2022, with aggravated assault being the most prevalent form of violent crime. The absence of murders, rare occurrences of rape and robbery, and fluctuating but generally low rates of aggravated assault paint a picture of a community with manageable violent crime issues. The relationship between population density and crime rates suggests that the city's small size and changes in population may influence crime trends, but more detailed analysis would be needed to establish causation.