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Violent Crime Trends in West Wendover: A Decade of Fluctuations and Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
West Wendover, located in Nevada, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, with a notable peak of 121 incidents in 2014 and a low of 17 incidents in 2022. This represents a significant overall decrease of 10.5% in violent crime incidents over the 12-year period. During the same timeframe, the population showed a slight decline from 4,490 in 2010 to 4,277 in 2022, a decrease of about 4.7%.
Examining murder rates, West Wendover has maintained an exceptionally low incidence. From 2010 to 2022, there was only one recorded murder, which occurred in 2017. This single incident represented 0.38% of the state's murders that year. With a rate of 0.23 murders per 1,000 people in 2017, and zero in all other years, the city has demonstrated a consistently low murder rate relative to its population.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variability over the years. In 2010, there were 8 reported rapes, which decreased to 4 in 2022. The highest number of rapes (16) was reported in 2018, representing 0.76% of the state's total that year. The rape rate per 1,000 people fluctuated from 1.78 in 2010 to a peak of 3.72 in 2018, before declining to 0.94 in 2022. Despite these fluctuations, the overall trend shows a decrease in rape incidents over the 12-year period.
Robbery trends in West Wendover have remained relatively low and stable. The number of robberies ranged from 0 to 8 incidents per year, with the highest (8) occurring in 2016. This represented 0.13% of the state's robberies that year. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 1.84 in 2016 and was at its lowest (0) in 2015. By 2022, the rate had decreased to 0.23 robberies per 1,000 people, indicating an overall downward trend.
Aggravated assault incidents have shown more significant fluctuations. The city experienced a dramatic spike in 2014 with 113 incidents, representing 1.17% of the state's total. This anomaly aside, the number of aggravated assaults generally ranged from 8 to 27 per year. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 25.73 in 2014 but has since stabilized, reaching 2.81 in 2022. Despite the outlier in 2014, the overall trend shows a moderate increase in aggravated assaults from 2010 to 2022.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 600 per square mile in 2010 to 571 in 2022, violent crime rates showed an overall decline, despite some fluctuations. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between changes in racial demographics and crime rates. As the Hispanic population percentage decreased from 63% in 2017 to 51% in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall violent crime incidents.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall violent crime incidents. Based on the current trends, we project that the total number of violent crimes could potentially decrease to around 12-15 incidents per year by 2029, assuming stable population and demographic conditions.
In summary, West Wendover has shown an overall improvement in its violent crime situation from 2010 to 2022, with notable decreases in most categories of violent crime. The city's extremely low murder rate, decreasing trends in rape and robbery, and the stabilization of aggravated assault rates after the 2014 anomaly all contribute to a generally positive outlook for public safety. These trends, coupled with the changing demographics and population density, suggest that West Wendover is moving towards becoming a safer community, though continued vigilance and crime prevention efforts will be crucial to maintain and improve upon these positive trends.
