Robbery trends in West Liberty have been minimal. The city reported one robbery in 2010, two in 2011, and one in 2013. Since 2014, there have been no reported robberies. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.32 in 2011 and has been 0 since 2014. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics was highest in 2011 at 0.06% but has been 0% since 2014, indicating a positive trend in this category of violent crime.

Aggravated assault incidents have fluctuated over the years. The city reported between 0 and 2 cases annually, with the highest number (2) occurring in 2014. The rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0 to 0.29, with 2014 showing the highest rate. West Liberty's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics varied, reaching a maximum of 0.06% in 2014 and 2020. These figures suggest that while aggravated assault is not a major issue, it remains an occasional concern for law enforcement.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,433 per square mile in 2010 to 1,242 in 2022, there was no consistent corresponding change in violent crime rates. The racial composition of the city has remained relatively stable, with the white population decreasing slightly from 91% in 2013 to 88% in 2022, while the black population increased from 5% to 7% during the same period. However, these demographic shifts do not show a strong correlation with violent crime trends.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and current trends, it is likely that West Liberty will continue to experience low and sporadic violent crime rates. The city may see between 0 to 3 violent crimes annually, with aggravated assault and rape being the most likely to occur, albeit infrequently. Robberies are expected to remain rare or non-existent, and the murder rate is predicted to stay at zero.

In summary, West Liberty, Kentucky, has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with fluctuations in specific categories. The city's small population and stable demographic composition contribute to its overall safety profile. While sporadic incidents of rape and aggravated assault warrant ongoing vigilance, the absence of murders and the decline in robberies are positive indicators for the community's safety. As the city moves forward, maintaining and enhancing crime prevention strategies will be crucial in preserving its low violent crime rates.