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Violent Crime Trends in Wallis, Texas: Small City Experiences Significant Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Wallis, Texas, a small urban area with a population of 2,276 in 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes varied significantly, peaking at 12 incidents in 2021 before dropping to just 1 in 2022, representing a 91.67% decrease in the final year. During this same period, the population grew from 1,987 in 2010 to 2,276 in 2022, an increase of 14.54%.
Examining murder trends, the city reported no murders from 2010 to 2019. However, in 2020 and 2021, there was one murder each year, representing 0.06% of the state's total murders for both years. This sudden increase translated to a rate of 0.38 murders per 1,000 people in 2020 and 0.41 in 2021. The emergence of murders in these years is significant for a small city that had previously not experienced such crimes, potentially indicating a temporary spike in serious violence.
Rape incidents in the city were sporadic and infrequent. The data shows two reported rapes in 2020 and one in 2021, accounting for 0.02% and 0.01% of the state's total rapes, respectively. This translates to rates of 0.76 rapes per 1,000 people in 2020 and 0.41 in 2021. The low numbers make it challenging to identify a clear trend, but the occurrence of these crimes in recent years may warrant attention from local law enforcement.
Robbery rates in the city have been consistently low. There were isolated incidents in 2012 and 2014, with one robbery each year. However, since 2015, no robberies have been reported. This suggests that robbery is not a significant concern for the city, with rates remaining at 0 per 1,000 people for most of the observed period.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated over the years, with notable increases in 2019 (10 cases) and 2021 (10 cases). In 2019, these assaults accounted for 0.02% of the state's total, while in 2021, they represented 0.01%. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 3.6 in 2019 and 4.05 in 2021. The significant drop to just one case in 2022 represents a 90% decrease from the previous year, suggesting a potential improvement in public safety or reporting practices.
Analyzing correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,328 per square mile in 2010 to 1,859 in 2019, violent crimes also generally trended upward, peaking at 10 incidents in 2019. However, this correlation weakened in subsequent years as crime rates fluctuated despite continued population growth.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and recent sharp decline, we might expect the violent crime rate to stabilize at a low level, potentially averaging between 2-5 incidents per year. However, given the city's small size, even minor fluctuations can significantly impact the crime rate.
In summary, Wallis has experienced considerable variability in its violent crime rates over the past decade. The most significant trends include the emergence of isolated murder cases in recent years, sporadic occurrences of rape, a virtual absence of robberies, and fluctuating but generally low rates of aggravated assault. The dramatic decrease in violent crimes from 2021 to 2022 is particularly noteworthy and may indicate improved safety measures or changes in local dynamics. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the community's overall well-being and development.
