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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Victoria, located in Kansas, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. With a population of 1,056 in 2022, this small community has experienced notable fluctuations in both population and crime rates over the years. From 2013 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes increased from 0 to 1, while the population decreased from 1,199 to 1,099.5 during the same period, indicating a complex relationship between population dynamics and crime incidents.
Regarding murder trends, Victoria has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the observed period from 2013 to 2020. This statistic remains unchanged despite population fluctuations, resulting in a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to the state's murder rate has consistently been 0%, reflecting its absence of homicides.
Similarly, rape incidents in Victoria have remained at zero from 2013 to 2020. The rape rate per 1,000 people has consequently been 0, and the city's contribution to the state's rape statistics has consistently been 0%. This trend has persisted regardless of population changes over the years.
Robbery trends in Victoria mirror those of murder and rape, with zero incidents reported from 2013 to 2020. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics has consistently been 0%. This trend has held steady despite fluctuations in the city's population.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category that has shown a change in Victoria. From 2013 to 2015, there were no reported cases of aggravated assault. However, in 2020, one case was reported. This single incident resulted in an aggravated assault rate of approximately 0.91 per 1,000 people in 2020, based on the population of 1,099.5. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics rose from 0% in previous years to 0.04% in 2020.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable observation is the relationship between the emergence of aggravated assault and changes in racial demographics. From 2013 to 2020, the white population percentage decreased from 99% to 93%, while the percentage of residents identifying as two or more races increased from 1% to 4%. This demographic shift coincided with the appearance of the first aggravated assault case in 2020. However, it's important to note that this correlation does not imply causation, and other factors may have contributed to this change.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which we'll consider as five years from now), we can anticipate a potential continuation of the low crime rates observed in Victoria. Given the limited historical data and the rarity of violent crimes, the model suggests that the city is likely to maintain its low crime profile. However, there is a possibility of occasional incidents of aggravated assault, potentially averaging less than one case per year.
In summary, Victoria has demonstrated remarkably low violent crime rates across all categories from 2013 to 2020. The most significant discovery is the emergence of a single aggravated assault case in 2020, coinciding with subtle changes in the city's racial demographics. While this small community has maintained an enviable safety record, the recent incident of aggravated assault warrants attention to ensure it remains an isolated occurrence rather than the beginning of a trend.