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Violent Crime Trends in Trappe, Maryland: A Decade of Low Rates and Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Trappe, Maryland, a small community with a population of 3,069 in 2022, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the years. From 2010 to 2017, the total number of violent crimes varied, peaking at 6 incidents in 2012 and dropping to zero in 2010, 2011, and 2017. During this period, the population grew from 3,462 in 2010 to 3,597 in 2017, representing a 3.9% increase.
The city has not reported any murders from 2010 to 2017, maintaining a consistent 0% of the state's murder rate. This absence of murders, despite population growth, suggests a relatively safe environment for residents in terms of the most severe violent crimes.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic. In 2012, there were 3 reported rapes, accounting for 0.61% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 0.84 rapes per 1,000 people. However, in subsequent years (2013-2017), rape incidents were either not reported or dropped to zero. The spike in 2012 followed by a return to zero incidents could indicate either an anomaly or improved prevention and reporting practices.
Robbery rates in the city have remained consistently at zero from 2010 to 2017. This stability, even as the population grew, suggests effective crime prevention strategies or a generally low-crime environment for property-related violent offenses.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated, with peaks of 3 cases in 2012 and 4 cases in 2013 and 2016. In 2012, the rate was 0.84 assaults per 1,000 people, rising slightly to 1.11 per 1,000 in 2013 and 1.14 per 1,000 in 2016. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault ranged from 0% in some years to a high of 0.06% in 2013 and 2016. These figures, while variable, remain relatively low compared to state totals.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density fluctuated between 1,139 and 1,369 people per square mile from 2010 to 2022, violent crime rates didn't show a consistent pattern of increase or decrease. The racial composition of the city, particularly the white population percentage (which ranged from 75% to 81% between 2013 and 2022), doesn't show a strong correlation with violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's challenging to forecast with high confidence due to the variability in the crime rates. However, if current trends continue, we might expect the violent crime rate to remain low, potentially fluctuating between 0 and 4 incidents annually over the next five years (up to 2029). This prediction assumes no significant changes in local law enforcement strategies or socioeconomic conditions.
In summary, Trappe has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the observed period. The absence of murders and robberies, combined with sporadic incidents of rape and fluctuating but low rates of aggravated assault, paints a picture of a generally safe community. While there have been occasional spikes in certain crime categories, the overall trend suggests a stable, low-crime environment. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates despite population growth is noteworthy and may be attributed to effective local policing strategies or strong community cohesion.
