Robbery has not been a significant issue for the city, with zero reported cases from 2017 to 2022. This consistent absence of robberies, despite the population changes, suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of this particular crime category. The city has not contributed to the state's robbery statistics during this period.

Aggravated assault cases have shown some variation over the years. In 2018, there were 2 reported cases (1.84 per 1,000 people), representing 0.02% of the state's total. In 2020, there was 1 case (1.04 per 1,000 people), accounting for 0.01% of the state's total. In 2021, the number increased back to 2 cases (2.22 per 1,000 people), again representing 0.02% of the state's total. However, in 2017, 2019, and 2022, there were no reported aggravated assaults. This fluctuation suggests an inconsistent pattern, with the rate per 1,000 people increasing slightly in years with reported cases due to the declining population.

A notable correlation exists between the city's demographic changes and violent crime trends. As the Hispanic population increased from 15% in 2017 to 29% in 2022, there was a simultaneous decrease in the white population from 74% to 60%. During this period, violent crime rates remained relatively low but showed some fluctuation, particularly in aggravated assaults. The population density decreased from 939 per square mile in 2017 to 782 in 2022, which coincided with the overall decrease in violent crimes from 2 in 2017 to 0 in 2022.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that the city may continue to experience low levels of violent crime over the next five years (up to 2029). The sporadic nature of the reported crimes suggests that while there may be occasional incidents, particularly in aggravated assaults, the overall violent crime rate is likely to remain relatively low. However, if the population decline continues, even a small number of incidents could result in higher per capita crime rates.

In summary, Tipton has maintained a relatively low violent crime profile from 2017 to 2022, with no murders or robberies, an isolated rape incident, and fluctuating but generally low numbers of aggravated assaults. The city's changing demographics and decreasing population density appear to have some correlation with these crime trends. As the community continues to evolve, maintaining vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies will be crucial in preserving the overall safety of Tipton.