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Violent Crime Trends in Tipp City, Ohio: A Decade of Fluctuations and Improvements
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Tipp City, Ohio, a small urban area covering 8.18 square miles, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2021, the total number of violent crimes in the city varied, with a peak of 9 incidents in 2013 and a low of 3 incidents in 2021, representing a 66.67% decrease over this period. Concurrently, the population grew from 14,519 in 2010 to 14,357 in 2022, a slight decrease of 1.12%.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero from 2010 to 2021, with no reported cases of murder or nonnegligent manslaughter. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population fluctuations during this period. The consistent zero murder rate per 1,000 people and 0% of state crime for murder reflects positively on the city's safety record in this most serious category of violent crime.
Rape incidents have shown variability over the years. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, which increased to 4 cases in 2013 and 2017, before decreasing to 0 in 2021. The rape rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.28 in 2013 and 2017, dropping to 0 in 2021. The percentage of state rape crimes attributed to the city fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.22% in 2013 and falling to 0% in 2021. This trend suggests improvements in recent years, though the variability indicates ongoing challenges in addressing this crime.
Robbery trends show a decline over time. From a high of 6 cases in 2015, robberies decreased to 2 cases in 2021. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.41 in 2015 and dropped to 0.14 in 2021. The city's share of state robberies varied, reaching 0.08% in 2015 and decreasing to 0.03% in 2021. This downward trend in robberies is a positive indicator for the city's safety.
Aggravated assault incidents have fluctuated but show a general decline. From 2 cases in 2010, the number peaked at 5 in 2016 before dropping to 1 in 2021. The rate per 1,000 people was highest in 2016 at 0.35 and lowest in 2021 at 0.07. The city's contribution to state aggravated assaults varied, peaking at 0.04% in 2016 and declining to 0.01% in 2021. This overall decrease in aggravated assaults aligns with the general improvement in violent crime statistics.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 1,807 per square mile in 2010 to 1,787 in 2022, violent crime generally decreased. The racial composition of the city remained predominantly white, with a slight decrease from 97% in 2013 to 93% in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in violent crime. However, the limited variability in racial demographics makes it difficult to draw strong conclusions about its impact on crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in Tipp City will continue to decrease slightly over the next five years (up to 2029). The model suggests that by 2029, the city could see an average of 2-3 violent crimes per year, maintaining its low crime rate relative to its population.
In summary, Tipp City has demonstrated a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction over the past decade. The consistent absence of murders, declining rates of robbery and aggravated assault, and recent improvements in rape statistics paint a picture of a city becoming safer over time. While fluctuations exist, the overall trajectory suggests that Tipp City is making progress in maintaining public safety, with predictions indicating a continuation of these positive trends in the coming years.
