Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Timnath, Colorado: A Decade of Growth and Low Crime Rates
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Timnath, Colorado, a small community with a rapidly growing population, has experienced significant changes in its violent crime landscape over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable increase from 0 in 2010 to 6 in 2022. This represents a 100% increase in violent crime incidents. Simultaneously, the population grew dramatically from 3,339 in 2010 to 10,662 in 2022, a 219% increase.
Murder trends in the city have been relatively stable, with only one incident reported in 2016, accounting for 0.63% of the state's murders that year. This translates to a rate of 0.23 murders per 1,000 people in 2016. In all other years, there were no reported murders. The overall murder rate per capita has decreased due to population growth, from 0.23 per 1,000 in 2016 to 0 per 1,000 in 2022. This suggests that despite rapid population growth, the city has maintained a very low murder rate.
Rape incidents have shown some fluctuation. The first reported case was in 2018, with one incident (0.03% of state total), followed by another single incident in 2019 (0.04% of state total). In 2022, there were two reported rapes (0.06% of state total). The rape rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.22 in 2018 to 0.19 in 2022, showing a slight decrease in the rate despite an increase in absolute numbers, due to population growth. This trend suggests that while rape incidents have increased, they have not kept pace with population growth.
Robbery incidents have been rare, with only one reported case in 2019 (0.03% of state total) and another in 2021 (0.02% of state total). The robbery rate per 1,000 people was 0.20 in 2019 and decreased to 0.10 in 2021, indicating a declining rate relative to population growth. This low and infrequent occurrence of robberies suggests that it is not a significant concern for the city.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of incidents increased from 0 in 2010 to 4 in 2022. Notable years include 2012 and 2014 with 2 incidents each (0.02% of state total), 2016 with 2 incidents (0.02% of state total), and 2021 with 5 incidents (0.03% of state total). The rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated, peaking at 0.55 in 2012 and decreasing to 0.37 in 2022. This indicates that while the absolute number of aggravated assaults has increased, the rate relative to population has decreased over time.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population growth and the absolute number of violent crimes. As the population increased from 3,339 in 2010 to 10,662 in 2022, the total number of violent crimes also increased from 0 to 6. However, the crime rate per capita has remained relatively low, suggesting that population growth has not led to a proportional increase in violent crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029), we can expect the number of violent crimes to continue to increase slightly, potentially reaching 8-10 incidents annually. However, given the rapid population growth, the per capita crime rate is likely to remain stable or potentially decrease further.
In summary, Timnath has experienced a significant increase in population over the past decade, accompanied by a modest increase in violent crimes. Despite this growth, the city has maintained relatively low crime rates across all categories of violent crime. The most notable trend has been in aggravated assaults, which have shown the most consistent presence. As the community continues to grow, maintaining public safety measures and community engagement will be crucial in preserving the low crime rates that characterize this rapidly expanding Colorado town.
