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Violent Crime Trends in Tignall, Georgia: A Small Town's Safety Record
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Tignall, a small community in Georgia, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. With a population that has fluctuated over the years, reaching 2,149 residents in 2022, the city has experienced minimal violent crime incidents. Between 2010 and 2014, the total number of violent crimes ranged from 0 to 1 per year, while the population saw an overall increase of 7.3% during this period.
The murder rate in Tignall has remained consistently at zero from 2010 to 2014. This statistic is particularly noteworthy given the population changes during this time. The murder rate per 1,000 people has stayed at 0, and the percentage of state crime for murder has also remained at 0%. This suggests that Tignall has maintained a safe environment in terms of homicides, despite population fluctuations.
Regarding rape incidents, the data is limited, with no information reported for 2013 and 2014. The lack of information for these years makes it challenging to draw conclusive trends about rape occurrences in the city. This data gap prevents a comprehensive analysis of rape trends in relation to population changes or state percentages.
Robbery trends in Tignall show a consistent pattern of zero incidents from 2010 to 2014. Similar to the murder rate, the robbery rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the percentage of state crime for robbery stayed at 0%. This indicates that the city has maintained a low risk for robbery crimes throughout the observed period, regardless of population changes.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category that shows any variation in Tignall. In 2010 and 2013, there was one reported case of aggravated assault each year, while in 2011, 2012, and 2014, there were no reported cases. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.5 cases per 1,000 people in 2010 and 0.54 cases per 1,000 people in 2013, based on the respective population figures. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault was 0.01% in both 2010 and 2013, dropping to 0% in the other years. These figures suggest that while aggravated assault does occur occasionally, it remains a rare event in the city.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and aggravated assault occurrences. The two years with reported aggravated assaults (2010 and 2013) had population densities of 726 and 672 people per square mile, respectively. However, given the limited data points and overall low crime rates, it's difficult to establish a strong correlation.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited historical data and the extremely low crime rates. However, based on the available information, it's reasonable to project that Tignall will likely continue to experience very low violent crime rates. The city may see occasional incidents of aggravated assault, potentially 0-1 cases per year, while murder, rape, and robbery rates are expected to remain at or near zero.
In conclusion, Tignall demonstrates a remarkably low violent crime profile. The consistent absence of murders and robberies, coupled with only sporadic occurrences of aggravated assault, paints a picture of a relatively safe community. While data limitations prevent a comprehensive analysis of rape trends, the overall violent crime landscape in Tignall appears stable and minimal. These findings suggest that the city has maintained effective public safety measures despite population changes over the years.
