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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Three Forks, located in Montana, is a small community with a population that has fluctuated over the years. In 2022, the city had 2,029 residents, showing growth from 1,529 in 2010. This analysis will focus on the violent crime trends in the city, examining the available data and its implications for the community.
The total number of violent crimes reported in Three Forks for the year 2010 was 1, which consisted entirely of aggravated assault cases. Given the limited data available, it's challenging to discuss trends over time or calculate percentage changes for total violent crimes. However, we can analyze the specific case of aggravated assault and its relation to the city's population growth.
Regarding murder rates, rape incidents, and robbery cases, the data shows no reported incidents for these crimes in 2010. Without additional data points for subsequent years, it's not possible to discern trends or make comparisons over time for these specific crime categories.
Focusing on aggravated assault, which is the only violent crime category with reported incidents, we see that in 2010 there was 1 case reported. This translates to approximately 0.65 cases per 1,000 people, based on the 2010 population of 1,529. The data indicates that this single case of aggravated assault represented 0.12% of the state's total aggravated assault cases for that year.
When examining the relationship between aggravated assault and population trends, we observe that as the population increased from 1,529 in 2010 to 2,029 in 2022, the rate of aggravated assault per 1,000 people would have decreased if the number of cases remained constant. However, without data for subsequent years, we cannot confirm if this trend held true or if the number of cases changed along with the population growth.
The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault (0.12% in 2010) suggests that Three Forks contributed a very small portion to the state's total aggravated assault cases. This low percentage is consistent with the city's small population relative to the state of Montana.
When looking for correlations between violent crime trends and other factors such as population density, median income, ownership percentages, and race distribution, the limited crime data makes it difficult to establish strong connections. However, we can note that the population density increased from 1,062 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,410 in 2022, which could potentially influence crime rates, though we lack the data to confirm this.
Regarding race distribution, the city has remained predominantly white, with the percentage of white residents ranging from 91% to 95% between 2013 and 2022. The stability in racial composition suggests that changes in crime rates, if any occurred, were likely not significantly influenced by shifts in racial demographics.
Predicting future violent crime trends for Three Forks is challenging due to the limited historical data. However, if we assume the low crime rate from 2010 has been maintained, we might expect the city to continue experiencing relatively low levels of violent crime through 2029. This projection should be treated with caution, as more recent data would be needed for a more accurate forecast.
In summary, Three Forks reported a single case of aggravated assault in 2010, representing a small fraction of Montana's violent crime. The city's growth in population and density between 2010 and 2022 provides context for potential changes in crime rates, though specific trend data is unavailable. The predominantly white demographic composition has remained stable, suggesting minimal impact on crime trends from racial demographic shifts. Moving forward, maintaining public safety measures and community engagement will be crucial for Three Forks to preserve its low violent crime profile.