Robbery trends mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported incidents from 2010 to 2020. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for robbery remained at 0.0% throughout the decade. This absence of robberies, despite population growth, suggests a low risk of property-related violent crimes in the city.

Aggravated assault shows some fluctuation over the years. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, increasing to 2 cases in 2011. The city then experienced no reported aggravated assaults from 2012 to 2013. In 2014, there was 1 case reported, followed by no cases from 2015 to 2018. In 2019, 1 case of aggravated assault was reported, with no cases in 2020. The rate of aggravated assault per 1,000 people ranged from 0 to 0.38 (in 2011), while the percentage of state crime for aggravated assault peaked at 0.01% in 2011 and 2019. These low and inconsistent numbers suggest that aggravated assault, while present, is not a persistent problem in the city.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most notable relationship is with population density. As the population density increased from 943 per square mile in 2010 to 1,135 per square mile in 2020, there was no corresponding increase in violent crimes. This suggests that the city has managed to maintain low crime rates despite becoming more densely populated.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and current trends, it's likely that the city will continue to experience very low rates of violent crime. The absence of murders, rapes, and robberies is expected to persist. Aggravated assaults may continue to occur sporadically, potentially averaging 0-1 cases per year.

In summary, Surgoinsville has demonstrated a remarkably low and stable violent crime rate from 2010 to 2020, despite significant population growth. The absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, coupled with only occasional aggravated assaults, paints a picture of a relatively safe community. This trend is expected to continue in the near future, suggesting that the city has effective mechanisms in place to maintain public safety even as it grows.