Robbery trends in the city show minimal fluctuation. In 2010, there were no reported robberies. In 2011 and 2013, there was one robbery each year, representing 0.01% of the state's robberies. However, in 2014, the number of robberies dropped back to zero. When considering the population, the robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at approximately 0.24 in 2011 and 2013, before returning to 0 in 2014. This suggests that while robberies were rare, they did occur occasionally, but did not establish a consistent upward trend.

Aggravated assault data shows a shift in the later years of the analysis. From 2010 to 2013, there were no reported aggravated assaults. However, in 2014, there was one incident of aggravated assault, representing 0.01% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.25 aggravated assaults per 1,000 people in 2014. While this increase is notable, it's important to recognize that a single incident in a small population can significantly affect the rate.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most significant relationship appears to be with population growth. As the population increased from 3,700 in 2010 to 4,040 in 2014, there was a slight uptick in overall violent crime incidents from 0 to 1 annually. However, given the extremely low number of incidents, it's difficult to establish a strong correlation. The racial distribution remained overwhelmingly white (93-95%) throughout the period, showing no significant correlation with the minimal crime fluctuations observed.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the extremely low number of incidents. However, if current trends continue, it's reasonable to expect that the city might experience between 0 to 2 violent crimes annually, with the most likely incidents being robbery or aggravated assault based on historical data.

In summary, Sunset Beach has maintained an exceptionally low violent crime rate despite modest population growth. The most significant finding is the consistent absence of murders and the rarity of other violent crimes. While there have been isolated incidents of robbery and aggravated assault, these have not established a clear upward trend. The city's safety record in terms of violent crime appears to be a positive aspect of its community character, potentially contributing to its appeal as a residential area.