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Violent Crime Trends in Sulligent, Alabama: A Decade of Fluctuations and Recent Improvements
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Sulligent, located in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both its violent crime rates and population. The total number of violent crimes decreased from 4 in 2010 to 1 in 2022, marking a 75% reduction. During this same period, the population grew modestly from 2,629 in 2010 to 2,908 in 2022, an increase of about 10.6%.
Examining murder trends, Sulligent has maintained a consistently low rate with zero reported cases throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population growth, indicating that the city has effectively maintained public safety in terms of homicides. The percentage of state crime for murder remains at 0% throughout, suggesting that Sulligent does not contribute to Alabama's overall murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variation over time. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, which increased to 2 cases in 2012 and 2014. However, from 2015 to 2022, there were no reported rape cases. The rape rate per 1,000 people peaked in 2012 and 2014 at approximately 0.72 and 0.63 respectively, before dropping to zero in subsequent years. The percentage of state crime for rape fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.24% in 2012 before decreasing to 0% in recent years. This trend suggests an improvement in this aspect of public safety over time.
Robbery trends in Sulligent have been sporadic. The city reported no robberies in most years, with exceptions in 2012 (1 case), 2015 (1 case), 2017 (2 cases), and 2021 (1 case). The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked in 2017 at approximately 0.70. The percentage of state crime for robbery reached its highest at 0.12% in 2021. These low numbers indicate that robbery is not a persistent issue in the city, though occasional incidents do occur.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Sulligent. The number of cases fluctuated between 1 and 7 over the years, with the highest count in 2018. The rate per 1,000 people for aggravated assault peaked in 2018 at about 2.27. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault has generally remained low, reaching a maximum of 0.06% in 2018. Despite some fluctuations, the overall trend shows a decrease in recent years, with only 1 case reported in 2022.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 335 per square mile in 2010 to 371 in 2022, the total violent crime incidents decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between racial demographics and crime rates. As the white population percentage increased from 71% in 2013 to 92% in 2022, violent crime rates generally decreased.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continuation of the overall downward trend in violent crime rates. Based on the current trajectory, it's projected that the city may experience an average of 1-2 violent crimes per year, with aggravated assault likely remaining the most common type of violent crime.
In summary, Sulligent has demonstrated a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction over the past decade. The most significant improvements have been in rape and aggravated assault rates, while murder rates have remained consistently at zero. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates despite population growth is commendable. These trends, coupled with changes in demographic composition, suggest that Sulligent has been effective in enhancing public safety and may continue to do so in the coming years.
