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Violent Crime Trends in Stevenson, Alabama: A Decade of Fluctuations and Demographic Shifts
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Stevenson, located in Alabama, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2011 to 2022, the city has experienced fluctuations in both its violent crime rates and population. The total number of violent crimes increased from 5 in 2011 to 7 in 2022, representing a 40% increase. During this same period, the population decreased slightly from 5,332 in 2011 to 5,311 in 2022, a decline of approximately 0.4%.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city has maintained a consistent record of zero incidents from 2011 to 2022. This statistic remains unchanged despite population fluctuations, indicating a persistently low rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The percentage of state crime for this category has consistently been 0%, suggesting that Stevenson has not contributed to Alabama's murder statistics during this period.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variation over time. In 2011, there were no reported rapes, but by 2014, there was 1 reported case, representing 0.08% of the state's total. In 2022, the number remained at 1, but the percentage of state crime increased to 0.11%. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.19 per 1,000 residents in 2022, up from 0 in 2011. While any increase is concerning, the numbers remain relatively low.
Robbery trends in Stevenson have also seen changes. From 2011 to 2021, there were no reported robberies. However, in 2022, 1 robbery was reported, accounting for 0.08% of the state's total. This sudden appearance of robbery in the crime statistics represents a new challenge for the city, with a rate of about 0.19 per 1,000 residents in 2022.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. In 2011, there were 5 cases, representing 0.05% of the state's total. This number increased to 15 cases in 2021, accounting for 0.18% of the state's aggravated assaults. However, in 2022, the number decreased to 5 cases, with the percentage of state crime dropping to 0.04%. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated from 0.94 in 2011 to 2.79 in 2021, before returning to 0.94 in 2022.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between changes in racial demographics and violent crime rates. As the percentage of white residents decreased from 87% in 2013 to 81% in 2022, and the percentage of Black residents increased from 7% to 9% over the same period, violent crime rates showed some fluctuation. However, it's important to note that this correlation does not imply causation, and many other factors likely contribute to crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Stevenson may see a slight increase in overall violent crime rates if current trends continue. The model suggests that aggravated assaults could potentially rise to around 8-10 cases per year, while other categories of violent crime may remain relatively stable or show minor increases.
In summary, Stevenson has experienced some fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most significant concern. While the overall numbers remain relatively low, the city has seen periods of increase followed by decreases in certain crime categories. The relationship between demographic changes and crime rates warrants further investigation, but it's crucial to consider multiple factors when analyzing these trends. As Stevenson moves forward, maintaining vigilance and implementing targeted crime prevention strategies will be key to ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.
