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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Southern Shores, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2011 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, ranging from a high of 4 in 2011 to a low of 0 in 2015 and 2022. Over this period, the population grew modestly from 3,037 in 2011 to 3,157 in 2022, representing an increase of approximately 3.95%.
The murder rate in Southern Shores has remained consistently at zero throughout the observed period from 2011 to 2022. This statistic is particularly noteworthy given the population growth, maintaining a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has also remained at 0% throughout this time, indicating a remarkably safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variation over the years. In 2011, there were 2 reported cases, which decreased to 1 in 2012. From 2019 to 2021, the number stabilized at 1 reported case per year, before dropping to 0 in 2022. When considering the population, the rape rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.66 in 2011 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics fluctuated, peaking at 0.17% in 2011 and falling to 0% by 2022. This trend suggests an overall improvement in this area of violent crime.
Robbery incidents in Southern Shores have consistently remained at zero from 2011 to 2022. This translates to a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 residents throughout the period, despite the population increase. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics has also remained at 0%, indicating an exceptionally low incidence of this crime type.
Aggravated assault cases in the city have shown a declining trend. In 2011, there were 2 reported cases, which decreased to 1 in 2012 and 2013. From 2015 to 2022, no aggravated assaults were reported. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.66 in 2011 to 0 by 2015 and has remained at that level. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics also dropped from 0.02% in 2011 to 0% by 2015 and has stayed at 0% since then.
A notable correlation exists between the declining violent crime rates and the city's racial composition. Throughout the period, the white population has consistently represented over 90% of the total, with minimal fluctuations in other racial groups. This stability in demographic composition coincides with the overall decrease in violent crime incidents.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that Southern Shores will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years, extending to 2029. The consistent zero or near-zero incidents in most violent crime categories suggest a continuation of this trend, barring any significant changes in socio-economic factors or local policies.
In conclusion, Southern Shores has demonstrated a remarkable trend of decreasing violent crime rates across all categories from 2011 to 2022. The city's ability to maintain zero incidents in several violent crime categories, particularly in recent years, is noteworthy. This trend, coupled with modest population growth and stable racial demographics, positions Southern Shores as a community with an exemplary safety record in terms of violent crime. The projected continuation of these low crime rates suggests that the city is likely to remain a safe environment for its residents in the foreseeable future.