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Violent Crime Trends in Snow Hill, North Carolina: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Snow Hill in North Carolina presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2013 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both its total violent crime incidents and population. The total number of violent crimes decreased from 11 in 2013 to 4 in 2022, marking a 63.6% reduction. Concurrently, the population saw a slight decline from 4,913 in 2013 to 4,506 in 2022, a 8.3% decrease.
Murder rates in the city have remained exceptionally low, with only one incident reported in 2020. This translates to a rate of 0.24 murders per 1,000 people in that year. The percentage of state murders attributed to Snow Hill was 0.19% in 2020, which is significant given its small population. In all other years, the murder rate was zero, indicating that 2020 was an anomaly rather than a trend.
Rape incidents have shown a slight increase over time. From no reported cases in most years, there was one incident in 2019 (0.26 per 1,000 people) and two in 2022 (0.44 per 1,000 people). The percentage of state rapes attributable to the city increased from 0.06% in 2019 to 0.1% in 2022, suggesting a disproportionate rise compared to state trends.
Robbery trends have fluctuated but generally decreased. The highest number was recorded in 2013 with 6 incidents (1.22 per 1,000 people), dropping to 1 incident in 2022 (0.22 per 1,000 people). The city's contribution to state robbery figures has remained relatively low, peaking at 0.09% in 2013 and decreasing to 0.02% by 2022.
Aggravated assault cases have shown a notable decline. From 5 incidents in 2013 (1.02 per 1,000 people), the number decreased to 1 in 2022 (0.22 per 1,000 people). The city's share of state aggravated assaults dropped from 0.04% in 2013 to 0% in 2022, indicating a significant improvement relative to state trends.
A strong correlation exists between violent crime trends and population density. As the population density decreased from 3,193 per square mile in 2013 to 2,928 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in violent crimes. Additionally, there appears to be a correlation between rising median rent (from $495 in 2013 to $793 in 2022) and decreasing violent crime rates, suggesting potential socioeconomic factors at play.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continuation of the overall decreasing trend. However, the rate of decrease is likely to slow down, with potential slight fluctuations. The model suggests that by 2029, the total number of violent crimes could stabilize around 3-4 incidents per year, barring any significant changes in socioeconomic conditions or law enforcement strategies.
In conclusion, Snow Hill has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its violent crime statistics over the past decade. The significant reduction in most categories of violent crime, particularly in the context of a slightly decreasing population, suggests effective law enforcement strategies and potentially improving socioeconomic conditions. However, the recent uptick in rape cases warrants attention. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trends while addressing specific areas of concern will be crucial for ensuring the continued safety and well-being of its residents.
