Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Shallotte, NC: A Decade of Improvement Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Shallotte, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable decrease from 18 incidents in 2010 to 7 in 2022, representing a 61.1% reduction. During this same period, the population grew from 9,440 in 2010 to 11,488 in 2022, an increase of 21.7%.
The murder rate in Shallotte has remained remarkably low, with zero murders reported in most years from 2010 to 2022. The only exception was in 2019 when 2 murders were reported, representing 0.53% of the state's total murders that year. This spike resulted in a rate of 0.15 murders per 1,000 residents in 2019, but quickly returned to zero in subsequent years. The consistently low murder rate, despite population growth, suggests effective law enforcement or community factors contributing to public safety.
Rape incidents in Shallotte have shown variability over the years. Data is limited, with only three years reporting rape cases: 3 in 2010 (0.32 per 1,000 residents), 1 in 2019 (0.07 per 1,000), and 1 in 2022 (0.09 per 1,000). The percentage of state rape crimes attributable to Shallotte decreased from 0.27% in 2010 to 0.05% in 2022, indicating a relative improvement compared to state-wide figures.
Robbery trends in Shallotte show a general decline. In 2010, there were 3 robberies (0.32 per 1,000 residents), peaking at 7 in 2011 (0.68 per 1,000), and decreasing to 1 in 2022 (0.09 per 1,000). The city's contribution to state robbery figures fluctuated, from 0.04% in 2010 to a high of 0.1% in 2011, before decreasing to 0.02% in 2022. This downward trend suggests improved safety or economic conditions in the city.
Aggravated assault cases in Shallotte have shown a significant decrease. In 2010, there were 12 cases (1.27 per 1,000 residents), peaking at 16 in 2013 (1.38 per 1,000), and dropping to 5 in 2022 (0.44 per 1,000). The city's contribution to state aggravated assault figures decreased from 0.09% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2022, indicating a substantial improvement relative to state-wide trends.
A notable correlation exists between the decrease in violent crimes and the increase in population density. As the population density grew from 1,021 per square mile in 2010 to 1,243 in 2022, violent crimes generally decreased. Additionally, there appears to be a correlation between the rise in median rent (from $569 in 2013 to $696 in 2022) and the reduction in violent crimes, possibly indicating improved economic conditions or changes in neighborhood demographics.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall violent crime rates. Based on the current trends, it's projected that the total number of violent crimes could potentially drop to around 4-5 incidents per year by 2029, assuming consistent population growth and economic development patterns.
In summary, Shallotte has experienced a significant reduction in violent crimes from 2010 to 2022, despite substantial population growth. The most notable improvements have been in aggravated assaults and robberies, while maintaining a consistently low murder rate. These trends, coupled with increasing population density and rising median rent, suggest a positive trajectory for public safety in Shallotte. The forecasted continuation of these trends indicates that the town is likely to maintain its improving safety record in the coming years.
