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Violent Crime Trends in Sea Isle City: A Decade of Fluctuations in a Coastal Community
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Sea Isle City, a small coastal community in New Jersey, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes varied significantly, with the highest count of 11 incidents in 2022 and the lowest of 0 in 2014 and 2019. This represents a 37.5% increase from 2010 to 2022. During the same period, the population decreased slightly from 2,125 in 2010 to 2,047 in 2022, a 3.67% decline.
Regarding murder trends, Sea Isle City has maintained a consistent record of zero murders from 2010 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population fluctuations, resulting in a consistent murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating that Sea Isle City has not impacted New Jersey's overall murder rates.
Rape incidents in the city have been rare, with only two reported cases in 2022. This translates to a rate of 0.98 per 1,000 residents in 2022. The percentage of state rape crimes attributable to Sea Isle City rose from 0% in previous years to 0.3% in 2022. This sudden increase, while numerically small, represents a significant change for a city of this size and warrants attention in the context of community safety.
Robbery trends in Sea Isle City have fluctuated over the years. The city experienced a peak of 4 robberies in 2012, dropping to 0 in several years, and then 1 in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents was 2.01 in 2012, decreasing to 0.49 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has varied, peaking at 0.05% in 2012 and settling at 0.04% in 2022. These figures suggest that while robberies are not a persistent issue, they do occur sporadically.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Sea Isle City. The number of incidents peaked at 8 in 2022, up from 7 in 2010. This represents a rate increase from 3.29 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 3.91 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has fluctuated, reaching 0.14% in 2022, up from 0.08% in 2010. This trend indicates a growing concern for public safety, particularly given the city's small population.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 963 per square mile in 2010 to 928 in 2022, violent crime rates showed an overall increase. This counterintuitive trend suggests that factors beyond population density are influencing crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, if current patterns continue, Sea Isle City may see a further increase in violent crimes over the next five years. By 2029, the city could potentially experience up to 15 violent crimes annually, with aggravated assaults likely remaining the predominant offense.
In summary, Sea Isle City has seen a concerning uptick in violent crimes, particularly in 2022, despite its relatively stable population. The most significant increases have been in aggravated assaults and the recent emergence of rape cases. While the city maintains a low crime rate compared to larger urban areas, these trends highlight the need for targeted public safety measures. The relationship between decreasing population density and increasing crime rates presents a unique challenge for local law enforcement and community leaders in maintaining the safety and security of this small coastal city.
