Robbery trends in the city have generally been declining. The number of robberies peaked at 12 in 2010 and decreased to zero reported incidents in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people followed a similar pattern, dropping from 1.40 per 1,000 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's share of state robbery statistics has also decreased significantly, from 0.16% in 2010 to 0% in 2022. This trend suggests a substantial improvement in the city's ability to prevent and address robbery crimes.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated considerably, reaching a high of 83 in 2016 and a low of 29 in 2013 and 2014. By 2022, there were 38 reported cases. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people mirrored these fluctuations, peaking at 9.41 per 1,000 in 2016 and settling at 4.08 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics varied from 0.13% to 0.44% over the years, with 2022 showing a contribution of 0.16%. These figures indicate that while aggravated assault remains a significant concern, recent years have shown some improvement.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate correlation between population density and violent crime rates, with years of higher density often coinciding with increased crime incidents. For example, the peak in violent crimes in 2016 (100 incidents) occurred when the population density was 1,293 people per square mile, one of the higher densities recorded during the period.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends suggests a potential continuation of the recent downward trend. Based on the data from 2010 to 2022, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city could see a further reduction in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 30-35 incidents per year if current trends persist.

In summary, Savannah has experienced a complex evolution of violent crime patterns over the past decade. While there have been fluctuations across all categories of violent crime, recent years have shown promising downward trends, particularly in robbery and rape incidents. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has generally decreased, reflecting positively on local law enforcement efforts. However, aggravated assault remains a primary concern, warranting continued focus from community leaders and law enforcement. As the city continues to grow, maintaining and building upon these positive trends will be crucial for ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.