Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Sandwich, Illinois: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Sandwich, located in Illinois, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2011 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, with a notable overall increase from 5 incidents in 2011 to 16 in 2021, before dropping sharply to 1 incident in 2022. This represents a 220% increase from 2011 to 2021, followed by an 80% decrease from 2011 to 2022. During this same period, the population grew from 8,267 in 2011 to 8,694 in 2022, a 5.2% increase.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city has maintained a consistent record of zero incidents from 2011 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population growth, indicating a rate of 0 per 1,000 people throughout the period. The percentage of state crime for this category has remained at 0% consistently, suggesting that Sandwich has not contributed to Illinois' murder statistics during this time frame.
Rape incidents have shown some variability over the years. The city recorded 1 incident in 2011, peaked at 5 incidents in 2016 and 2021, and dropped to 0 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.12 in 2011 to a high of 0.62 in 2016, before returning to 0 in 2022. The percentage of state crime for rape fluctuated significantly, from 0.06% in 2011 to a high of 0.54% in 2021, indicating periods where the city contributed more substantially to the state's rape statistics.
Robbery trends in the city have been minimal. There were no reported robberies in most years, with only one incident each in 2017 and 2019. This translates to a rate of 0.12 per 1,000 people in those years. The percentage of state crime for robbery reached 0.01% in both 2017 and 2019, demonstrating a very low contribution to Illinois' robbery statistics.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. Incidents increased from 4 in 2011 to a peak of 18 in 2014, before fluctuating and ending at 1 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.48 in 2011 to 2.25 in 2014, then decreased to 0.12 in 2022. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault varied, peaking at 0.08% in 2014 and dropping to 0.01% in 2022, indicating changing levels of contribution to the state's aggravated assault figures.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 1,745 per square mile in 2011 to 1,835 in 2022, violent crime rates showed general upward trends until 2021, before the sharp decline in 2022. The racial distribution, particularly the white population percentage, shows a slight negative correlation with violent crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased slightly from 84% in 2013 to 81% in 2022, violent crime rates tended to increase, with the exception of the 2022 drop.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, Sandwich may experience a slight increase in violent crimes from the 2022 low, potentially returning to an average of 8-10 incidents per year. This prediction assumes a continuation of population growth and demographic shifts similar to those observed in recent years.
In summary, Sandwich has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The city has maintained a murder-free record and has seen minimal robbery incidents. The sharp decrease in violent crimes in 2022 is noteworthy and could indicate a positive trend if sustained. However, the relationship between population growth, demographic changes, and crime rates suggests that ongoing attention to crime prevention strategies will be crucial for maintaining public safety in the coming years.
