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Violent Crime Trends in San Dimas: A Suburban City's Changing Landscape
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
San Dimas, a city in California known for its proximity to the San Gabriel Mountains and its role in popular culture, has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased by 15%, from 80 to 92 incidents. During this same period, the population grew by 1.25%, from 33,780 to 34,203 residents, indicating that crime rates have outpaced population growth.
The murder rate in San Dimas has remained relatively low, with most years reporting zero murders. However, there were isolated incidents in 2015, 2018, and 2020, each reporting one murder. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.03 murders per 1,000 people in those years. The percentage of state murders attributed to San Dimas has fluctuated between 0% and 0.07%, indicating that the city contributes minimally to California's overall murder statistics.
Rape incidents have shown a concerning upward trend. In 2010, there were 4 reported rapes, which increased to 16 in 2022, a 300% increase. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.12 in 2010 to 0.47 in 2022. The city's contribution to state rape statistics also increased from 0.06% in 2010 to 0.13% in 2022, suggesting a growing concern in this area of violent crime.
Robbery trends have been more volatile. The number of robberies decreased from 28 in 2010 to 16 in 2022, a 42.9% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 0.83 to 0.47 over this period. The city's share of state robberies fluctuated between 0.03% and 0.06%, indicating a relatively stable contribution to state figures despite local decreases.
Aggravated assaults have shown an upward trend, increasing from 48 incidents in 2010 to 60 in 2022, a 25% rise. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.42 to 1.75. The city's percentage of state aggravated assaults has remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.05% and 0.08%, suggesting that this increase is consistent with state-wide trends.
There appears to be a correlation between the increase in violent crimes and changes in racial demographics. As the Hispanic population increased from 30% in 2013 to 37% in 2022, and the Asian population grew from 13% to 16%, violent crimes also trended upward. Conversely, the white population decreased from 50% to 39% during this period. This demographic shift coincides with the overall increase in violent crimes, particularly in rape and aggravated assault cases.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual increase in overall violent crimes. Based on current trajectories, rape incidents may continue to rise, potentially reaching 20-25 cases annually. Aggravated assaults could increase to around 70-75 incidents per year. Robbery rates are expected to remain stable or slightly decrease. Murder rates are likely to remain low, with occasional incidents not exceeding 1-2 per year.
In conclusion, San Dimas faces challenges with increasing violent crime rates, particularly in rape and aggravated assault categories. While the city's contribution to state crime statistics remains relatively small, the local trends suggest a need for targeted interventions and community-based strategies to address these rising crime rates, especially in light of the changing demographic landscape.
