Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Red Bud, Illinois: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Red Bud, Illinois, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. This small city, with a population of 4,805 in 2022, has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes decreased significantly from 27 to 3, representing an 88.9% reduction. During this same period, the population remained relatively stable, growing by only 1.9% from 4,748 to 4,805 residents.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero throughout the analyzed period from 2010 to 2020. This stability is notable, especially considering the fluctuations in population. The murder rate per 1,000 people has thus remained at 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this time. This absence of murders speaks positively about the safety of the community.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic and infrequent. The data shows only two reported cases over the decade: one in 2010 and another in 2015. This translates to a rate of 0.21 per 1,000 people in 2010 and 0.20 per 1,000 in 2015. The percentage of state rape cases attributable to the city was 0.06% in 2010 and 0.03% in 2015. The low and inconsistent numbers make it difficult to establish a clear trend, but they suggest that rape is not a persistent problem in the community.
Robbery has been an even rarer occurrence in the city. Only one robbery was reported in 2012, representing a rate of 0.20 per 1,000 people and 0.01% of the state's robberies for that year. In all other years, the robbery rate was zero. This indicates that robbery is not a significant concern for the city's residents and law enforcement.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city, though it has shown a general downward trend. In 2010, there were 26 cases (5.48 per 1,000 people), which decreased to 3 cases (0.65 per 1,000 people) by 2020. This represents an 88.5% decrease in aggravated assaults. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases has also declined, from 0.1% in 2010 to 0.01% in 2020. This significant reduction suggests improved safety and potentially more effective law enforcement or community initiatives.
There appears to be a correlation between the decrease in violent crimes and the slight increase in population density. As the population density increased from 1,810 per square mile in 2010 to 1,752 per square mile in 2020, violent crimes decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a weak inverse correlation between median rent and violent crime rates. As median rent increased from $645 in 2013 to $748 in 2020, violent crime rates generally decreased.
Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may see a further reduction in violent crimes, potentially reaching near-zero levels across all categories if the current trajectory continues. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously, as small fluctuations in a city of this size can have significant percentage impacts on crime rates.
In summary, Red Bud has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in safety over the past decade, with significant reductions in violent crime, particularly in aggravated assaults. The consistent absence of murders, rare occurrences of rape and robbery, and the substantial decrease in aggravated assaults paint a picture of a community that has become increasingly safe. These trends, coupled with stable population growth and increasing property values as indicated by rising median rents, suggest a positive outlook for the city's safety and quality of life in the coming years.
