Robbery trends in Primera have been minimal, with most years reporting zero incidents. The only exception was in 2020, when 1 robbery was reported. This translates to a robbery rate of 0.16 per 1,000 people in 2020, while all other years had a rate of 0. The percentage of state crime for robbery remained at 0% throughout the period, except for 2020 when it marginally increased but was still reported as 0.0% due to rounding.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults varied from a high of 11 in 2012 to a low of 0 in 2020. In 2022, there were 4 reported cases. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0 to 2.18 (in 2012). The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault peaked at 0.02% in 2012 and has generally remained at or below 0.01% in recent years. This suggests that while aggravated assaults occur more frequently than other violent crimes in the city, they still represent a very small fraction of the state's total.

When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,896 per square mile in 2010 to 2,453 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate showed a general decline, despite some fluctuations. The Hispanic population has consistently been the dominant demographic, comprising between 87% and 94% of the total population from 2013 to 2022. However, there doesn't seem to be a strong correlation between changes in racial distribution and violent crime trends.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in Primera will likely remain relatively low and stable over the next five years (up to 2029). The total number of violent crimes is expected to fluctuate between 2 and 6 annually, with aggravated assaults continuing to be the most common type of violent crime.

In conclusion, Primera has maintained a relatively low and stable violent crime rate despite significant population growth over the past decade. The most notable trends include the consistent absence of murders, sporadic occurrences of rape and robbery, and fluctuating but generally low rates of aggravated assault. The city's violent crime rates represent a very small percentage of Texas state totals, indicating that Primera is comparatively safer than many other areas in the state. As the community continues to grow, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the city's overall safety and quality of life.