Robbery trends show an increase over time, from no reported cases in most years to 6 cases (0.88 per 1,000 people) in 2022, representing 2.59% of the state's robberies. This trend indicates a growing concern for property-related violent crimes in the city, although the numbers remain relatively low.

Aggravated assault has seen the most significant increase among violent crimes. In 2010, there were 35 cases (5.87 per 1,000 people), representing 4.18% of the state's total. By 2022, this number rose to 48 cases (7.07 per 1,000 people), accounting for 2.03% of the state's aggravated assaults. This upward trend suggests a growing issue with violent confrontations in the community.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between the increase in violent crimes and the city's population density, which grew from 1,328 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,511 in 2022. Additionally, changes in racial demographics may have influenced crime trends, with the white population decreasing from 76% in 2013 to 65% in 2022, while the Native American population fluctuated between 13% and 21% during this period.

Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, Polson may see a continued absence of murders, a slight increase in rape cases to approximately 5-6 per year, robbery cases potentially rising to 8-10 annually, and aggravated assaults possibly reaching 60-65 cases per year.

In summary, Polson has experienced a notable increase in violent crimes, particularly in aggravated assaults and robberies, over the past decade. While murder rates remain negligible, the rise in other violent offenses, coupled with population growth and changing demographics, suggests a need for targeted community safety initiatives. The city's law enforcement and policymakers should focus on addressing the root causes of these trends to ensure the long-term safety and well-being of its residents.