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Violent Crime Trends in Polo, Missouri: A Growing City with Sporadic Incidents
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Polo, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2017, the city experienced a total of 5 violent crimes, with a notable fluctuation in its population from 586 in 2010 to 763 in 2017, representing a 30.2% increase.
The murder rate in this small city remains consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2017. With no reported murders, the murder rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for this category both stand at 0%. This absence of homicides suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of the most severe form of violent crime.
Similarly, the data shows no reported cases of rape in Polo from 2010 to 2017. The rape rate per 1,000 people and the city's contribution to state rape statistics remain at 0%. This consistent lack of reported rapes could indicate effective prevention measures or possibly underreporting, though without additional context, it's difficult to draw firm conclusions.
Robbery trends in the city show an interesting pattern. From 2010 to 2014, there were no reported robberies. However, in 2015, there were 2 robbery cases reported, which then dropped back to zero in 2016 and 2017. This spike in 2015 resulted in a robbery rate of 2.7 per 1,000 people for that year, based on the population of 741. Notably, these 2 robberies accounted for 0.04% of the state's total robberies in 2015. The isolated nature of this incident suggests it may have been an anomaly rather than indicative of a broader trend.
Aggravated assault figures show a slight increase over time. From 2010 to 2016, there were no reported cases. However, in 2017, 3 aggravated assaults were recorded. This resulted in an aggravated assault rate of 3.93 per 1,000 people in 2017, based on the population of 763. These 3 cases represented 0.02% of the state's total aggravated assaults for that year. This sudden appearance of aggravated assaults might warrant attention from local law enforcement to prevent further increases.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between the increase in population density and the emergence of violent crimes. The population density increased from 951 per square mile in 2010 to 1,239 in 2017, coinciding with the appearance of robberies in 2015 and aggravated assaults in 2017. However, it's important to note that the sample size is small, and more data would be needed to establish a strong correlation.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which we'll refer to as five years from now), we might expect to see a slight increase in aggravated assaults if the trend continues. However, given the small numbers and fluctuations seen so far, it's challenging to make accurate predictions. The city might experience between 0-5 violent crimes annually, with aggravated assault being the most likely type of offense.
In summary, Polo has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the years, with sporadic incidents of robbery and aggravated assault emerging in recent years. The most significant discovery is the appearance of aggravated assaults in 2017, which may require attention from local authorities. While the overall violent crime rate remains low, the recent uptick suggests a need for continued vigilance in this growing community.
