Robbery trends in the city have been relatively stable, with a slight increase over time. The number of robberies rose from 2 in 2010 to 8 in 2016 and 2019, before declining to 2 in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.17 in 2010 to 0.61 in 2016, then decreased to 0.15 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has remained low, peaking at 0.03% in 2016 and 2019. This indicates that while robberies have fluctuated, they have not significantly impacted the state's overall robbery figures.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city, showing considerable variation over the years. The highest number of incidents was 31 in 2013, representing 2.53 incidents per 1,000 people. The lowest was 10 in 2020, or 0.72 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics has ranged from 0.01% to 0.06%, with the highest percentage occurring in 2013 and 2014. The overall trend shows a decrease in aggravated assaults, with the rate per 1,000 people falling from 2.19 in 2010 to 1.00 in 2022, indicating an improvement in public safety.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,324 per square mile in 2010 to 1,447 in 2022, the total violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the city has managed to improve safety despite increasing urbanization. Additionally, there is a notable correlation between the Hispanic population percentage and violent crime rates. As the Hispanic population grew from 53% in 2013 to 56% in 2022, violent crime rates generally decreased, indicating that demographic changes have not negatively impacted public safety.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall violent crime rates. Based on the current trends, we project that the total number of violent crimes could potentially drop to around 15-18 incidents per year by 2029, assuming consistent population growth and continuation of current crime prevention strategies.

In summary, Pleasanton has demonstrated a significant improvement in public safety over the past decade, with a substantial decrease in violent crime rates despite population growth. The city has maintained low murder rates, shown improvement in rape and aggravated assault incidents, and managed robbery occurrences effectively. These trends, coupled with the city's ability to maintain safety amid increasing population density and demographic changes, paint a positive picture for Pleasanton's future in terms of public safety and community well-being.