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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Plainview, Tennessee, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, ranging from a low of 0 in 2020 to a high of 7 in 2017. Interestingly, this period also saw a population decline from 4,804 in 2010 to 4,052 in 2020, representing a 15.7% decrease. However, by 2022, the population had rebounded slightly to 4,281.
Examining murder trends, the city reported only one incident in 2011, accounting for 0.35% of the state's total murders that year. This single event translates to a rate of 0.22 murders per 1,000 residents. In all other years within the dataset, no murders were reported, indicating an overall low incidence of this severe crime.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic. The data shows occurrences in 2010, 2012, and 2015-2017, with one incident reported in each of these years. The highest percentage of state rapes was 0.07% in 2012. When rape did occur, it averaged a rate of approximately 0.24 incidents per 1,000 residents. The infrequency of these incidents suggests that while concerning when they occur, rape is not a persistent problem in the area.
Robbery trends in the city are minimal, with only one incident reported in 2016. This single robbery represented 0.02% of the state's total robberies that year and equated to a rate of 0.28 robberies per 1,000 residents. The absence of robberies in other years indicates that this type of crime is not a significant concern for the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The highest number of incidents was recorded in 2014 and 2017, with 6 cases each year. These peaks represented 0.03% of the state's total aggravated assaults. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 residents reached its maximum in 2017 at 1.65. Despite these peaks, the overall trend has been inconsistent, with years of higher incidence followed by years of lower numbers.
There appears to be a moderate correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 754 per square mile in 2010 to 635 per square mile in 2020, there was a general trend of fewer violent crimes, culminating in zero reported incidents in 2020. However, this correlation is not perfect, as evidenced by the spike in crimes in 2017 despite a lower population density.
The racial composition of the city has remained predominantly white, with the percentage hovering between 95% and 98% from 2014 to 2022. The stability in racial demographics suggests that changes in violent crime rates are likely influenced by factors other than racial distribution.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it is projected that violent crime rates in Plainview will remain low over the next five years, potentially averaging between 2 to 4 incidents annually by 2029. This forecast assumes that current socioeconomic conditions and law enforcement strategies remain relatively constant.
In summary, Plainview has maintained relatively low levels of violent crime over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most common offense. The city's small size and stable demographic composition have likely contributed to its overall low crime rates. While there have been fluctuations in violent crime incidents, the general trend suggests a community that is not significantly impacted by severe criminal activity. The projected low crime rates for the coming years indicate a continued favorable outlook for public safety in this Tennessee municipality.