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Violent Crime Trends in Pinehurst, Idaho: A Decade of Low Rates Amidst Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Pinehurst, Idaho, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. With a population that has grown from 2,565 in 2010 to 2,889 in 2022, representing a 12.6% increase, the city has experienced fluctuations in its violent crime rates. The total number of violent crimes has remained relatively low, ranging from 0 to 2 incidents per year, with no clear trend of increase or decrease over time.
The murder rate in this small Idaho city has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has therefore remained at 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this time. This consistent lack of murders speaks to the relative safety of the community in terms of the most severe form of violent crime.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic, with only two reported cases in the available data. In 2013, there was one rape reported, accounting for 0.23% of the state's total. Another incident was recorded in 2022, representing 0.15% of the state's rapes. The rate per 1,000 people was approximately 0.43 in 2013 and 0.35 in 2022, showing a slight decrease relative to population growth. While any occurrence of rape is concerning, the infrequency of these incidents suggests that it is not a persistent problem in the community.
Robbery has been nonexistent in Pinehurst throughout the recorded period. From 2010 to 2022, there were no reported robberies, maintaining a 0% contribution to the state's robbery statistics. This absence of robbery cases, even as the population grew, indicates a very low risk of this type of crime for residents and businesses in the area.
Aggravated assault has been the most common form of violent crime in the city, though still occurring at low rates. There were single incidents reported in 2013, 2014, 2016, 2019, and 2020. Each of these years saw one aggravated assault, representing about 0.05% to 0.06% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated slightly due to population changes, from approximately 0.43 per 1,000 in 2013 to 0.39 per 1,000 in 2020. Despite the consistency in the number of incidents, the rate shows a marginal decrease relative to population growth.
There appears to be a weak correlation between the occurrence of violent crimes and the increase in median rent, which rose from $426 in 2013 to $687 in 2022. However, the relationship is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions. The racial composition of the city has remained predominantly white, with a slight decrease from 98% in 2019 to 85% in 2022, coinciding with a small increase in diversity. This change does not seem to have significantly impacted violent crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that the city is likely to maintain its low violent crime rates. The sporadic nature of incidents makes precise predictions challenging, but based on historical data, we can expect: Murder rates to remain at or very close to zero. Rape incidents to potentially occur once every 4-5 years. Robbery rates to stay at or near zero. Aggravated assaults to continue at a rate of 0-1 incidents per year.
In summary, Pinehurst has maintained a remarkably low violent crime rate despite population growth. The most significant finding is the consistent absence of murders and robberies, coupled with very infrequent occurrences of rape and low levels of aggravated assault. These trends paint a picture of a relatively safe community with isolated incidents of violent crime rather than systemic issues. The city's ability to maintain such low crime rates while experiencing population growth is a positive indicator for community safety and quality of life.
