Robbery trends in Parsons have been minimal. Only one robbery was reported in 2013, representing 0.01% of state robberies for that year. In all other years from 2010 to 2022, no robberies were reported. This translates to a rate of about 0.17 robberies per 1,000 people in 2013, the only year with an incident. The overall trend indicates that robbery is not a significant concern for the city.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Parsons. The number of incidents has fluctuated, with a high of 12 cases in 2017 (representing 0.06% of state aggravated assaults) and a low of 2 cases in 2015 (0.01% of state cases). In 2022, there were 3 aggravated assaults, accounting for 0.01% of state cases. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at about 2.05 in 2017 and was at its lowest at 0.33 in 2015. The 2022 rate was approximately 0.51 per 1,000 people, showing a decrease from the peak but still higher than the lowest point.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,531 per square mile in 2010 to 1,453 in 2022, there was a general downward trend in violent crimes, particularly noticeable in the later years. The racial distribution has remained relatively stable, with the white population consistently around 90-91% from 2018 to 2022, which doesn't show a strong correlation with crime rate fluctuations.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in Parsons will continue to remain low over the next five years, potentially stabilizing around 3-5 incidents annually by 2029. This forecast suggests a continuation of the recent downward trend observed in the last few years of the dataset.

In summary, Parsons has maintained relatively low violent crime rates, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders, infrequent occurrences of rape and robbery, and the recent decline in aggravated assaults paint a picture of a community that, despite some fluctuations, has managed to keep violent crime in check. The city's small size and stable demographic composition likely contribute to this trend, suggesting that targeted community-based interventions could be effective in further reducing violent crime incidents in the coming years.