Robbery has been virtually non-existent in the city throughout the period analyzed. No robberies were reported in any year from 2010 to 2022, resulting in a consistent 0% of the state's total robberies. This absence of robberies is a positive indicator of the city's safety with regard to property crimes involving force or threat of force.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city, though rates have fluctuated significantly. The highest number of aggravated assaults was recorded in 2016 and 2018, with 10 incidents each year, translating to rates of 2.67 and 2.66 per 1,000 people respectively. These peaks represented 0.02% of the state's total aggravated assaults. However, by 2022, aggravated assaults had dropped to zero, marking a 100% decrease from the peak years. This dramatic reduction suggests a significant improvement in public safety or law enforcement effectiveness in recent years.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and demographic factors, a notable relationship emerges with the racial composition of the city. As the white population percentage decreased from 85% in 2013 to 78% in 2022, there was a corresponding increase in the Hispanic population from 12% to 13%, and in the Native American population from 0% to 4%. This demographic shift coincided with the overall decrease in violent crime, particularly aggravated assaults, suggesting a possible link between increasing diversity and improved community safety.

Applying predictive models based on the recent downward trend in violent crime, it's projected that the city will likely maintain low crime rates over the next five years, extending to 2029. However, given the small population and the historical volatility in crime numbers, even a small number of incidents could significantly impact the crime rate. The forecast suggests that violent crime rates will remain below 1 per 1,000 residents annually, with aggravated assault potentially remaining the most common form of violent crime, albeit at very low levels.

In summary, Panhandle has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in public safety over the past decade, with violent crime rates dropping to zero by 2022. The most significant change has been in aggravated assaults, which have shown the most variability but ultimately decreased to zero. The city's changing demographic composition, particularly the increase in diversity, correlates with this positive trend in public safety. As the community continues to evolve, maintaining these low crime rates will likely be a priority for local law enforcement and community leaders.