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Violent Crime Trends in Owingsville, Kentucky: A Decade of Stability Amidst Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Owingsville, Kentucky, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced minimal fluctuations in total violent crimes, ranging from a high of 3 incidents in 2010 to a low of 0 in 2011 and 2022. During this period, Owingsville's population grew by 12.4%, from 4,652 in 2010 to 5,230 in 2022.
The city maintained a consistent record of zero murders from 2010 to 2022, indicating a stable and low murder rate per 1,000 people. This trend suggests that Owingsville has remained safer in terms of homicides compared to other parts of Kentucky. Rape incidents were sporadic, with only two reported cases over the 13-year period: one in 2010 and another in 2018. These cases translated to rates of 0.21 and 0.22 per 1,000 people in 2010 and 2018, respectively.
Robbery trends in Owingsville were minimal, with only one reported incident in 2016, resulting in a rate of 0.21 robberies per 1,000 people for that year. Aggravated assault, while the most frequent violent crime in the city, still maintained low numbers. Incidents ranged from 0 to 2 per year, with the highest counts occurring in 2010 and 2020. The rate per 1,000 people for aggravated assault reached a maximum of 0.43 in 2010 and 0.40 in 2020.
An examination of correlations reveals a weak inverse relationship between violent crime and population density. As the population density increased from 1,851 per square mile in 2010 to 2,081 in 2022, violent crime incidents generally decreased or remained low. However, this correlation is not strong enough to suggest a causal relationship.
Predictive models forecasting violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) anticipate that Owingsville will likely maintain its low violent crime rates. Based on historical data, projections suggest the city may experience between 0 to 2 violent crime incidents annually, with aggravated assault remaining the most probable type of violent crime.
In summary, Owingsville has demonstrated a remarkably low and stable violent crime rate over the past decade, despite population growth. The absence of murders, infrequent occurrences of rape and robbery, and low levels of aggravated assault paint a picture of a relatively safe community. These trends suggest that local law enforcement strategies and community factors have been effective in maintaining public safety in Owingsville.
