Robbery in Owensville was even rarer, with only one reported incident throughout the entire period, occurring in 2018. This single robbery represented 0.02% of the state's total robberies that year. With a population of 4,818 in 2018, the robbery rate was 0.21 per 1,000 residents. The scarcity of robbery incidents indicates that it is not a prevalent concern for the city.

Aggravated assault emerged as the most common form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated over the years, ranging from 0 in 2011, 2013, and 2014 to a peak of 4 in 2012 and 2018. In 2022, there were 3 aggravated assaults, representing 0.02% of the state's total. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 residents in 2022 was 0.60, showing a slight increase from 0.58 in 2010. Despite these fluctuations, aggravated assault rates remained relatively low compared to larger urban areas.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a weak positive correlation between population density and violent crime rates. For instance, in 2018, when the city experienced its highest number of violent crimes (5), the population density was 1,855 people per square mile. Conversely, in years with lower crime rates, such as 2014 and 2015, population densities were also lower at 1,876 and 1,832 respectively.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential slight increase in overall violent crime rates. Based on historical patterns, the city might experience between 3 to 5 violent crimes annually, with aggravated assault likely remaining the most common type of violent offense. However, given the city's relatively low crime rates and small population, even minor fluctuations can appear significant in percentage terms.

In summary, Owensville has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The infrequent occurrences of more serious crimes like murder and rape suggest a generally safe environment. However, the slight upward trend in aggravated assaults and the potential for increased overall violent crime in the coming years warrant continued attention from local law enforcement and community leaders to maintain the city's safety and quality of life.